Do I ship it?

GamesBase BuildingBase Building + Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Platformer Base Building game?

Base Building + Platformer

Only 13 developers shipped a Platformer Base Building game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Kentum, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 37 more are announced, ×6.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.4k, ×2.3 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $92k, ×148 the market median. Revenue is up 1215% on the market; 37 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 1215% on the market, 37 announced, ×6.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Base Building + Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.7k → $72k → $3.8k → $3.5k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Base Building + Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $360 (exactly $360)
Median $1.4k (exactly $1,439)
Top 25% $3.8k (exactly $3,775)
Top 5% $93k (exactly $92,828)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 45
Announced 37
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1215% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Base Building
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Base Building, Platformer
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 78% positive over 300 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $1.4k, 1 in 4 over $3.7k, 1 in 20 over $92k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. All of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 37 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Base Building with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ProgrammingFair13 devs · median $53k · 21 announced
  2. + DwarvesFair12 devs · median $13k · 19 announced
  3. + Bullet HellFair61 devs · median $540 · 67 announced
  4. + DiplomacyPoor odds19 devs · median $520k · 47 announced
  5. + SailingPoor odds9 devs · median $356k · 38 announced
  6. + Dating SimPoor odds19 devs · median $128k · 21 announced
  7. + TrainsPoor odds19 devs · median $113k · 47 announced
  8. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds20 devs · median $73k · 35 announced
  9. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds130 devs · median $72k · 262 announced
  10. + UndergroundPoor odds12 devs · median $65k · 71 announced
  11. + MarsPoor odds15 devs · median $58k · 28 announced
  12. + HistoricalPoor odds81 devs · median $58k · 175 announced

All 175 pairs on the Base Building page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Regions Of Ruin older $11.99 1,972 84% 59k $709k (exactly $709,328) Gameclaw Studio
Actraiser Renaissance older $29.99 708 74% 21k $637k (exactly $636,988) Square Enix, Sonic Powered
The Enjenir: The Engineering Physics Building Simulator · EA older $14.99 681 91% 20k $306k (exactly $306,246) PeatyTurf
PixelJunk™ Nom Nom Galaxy older $9.99 808 77% 24k $242k (exactly $242,158) Q-Games Ltd.
Junk Jack older $14.99 440 78% 13k $198k (exactly $197,868) Pixbits
Smelter older $19.99 165 64% 5.0k $99k (exactly $98,950) X PLUS Co., Ltd.
Kentum $17.99 172 75% 5.2k $93k (exactly $92,828) Tlön Industries
Ad Fundum older $6.99 429 93% 13k $90k (exactly $89,961) Oldbut Gold
Garlic Builder older $7.99 299 92% 9.0k $72k (exactly $71,670) CaveLiquid
Minicology older $14.99 53 64% 1.6k $24k (exactly $23,834) Isaac Denner
Tempest Tower $14.99 24 83% 720 $11k (exactly $10,793) Half Past Yellow
AI Faith: Compute [>_AIFC] $4.99 55 81% 1.7k $8.2k (exactly $8,234) Beneloop.ai
Blueprint Bob $6.99 18 100% 540 $3.8k (exactly $3,775) Alexander Lahti, Suumpmolk, The LoFi Bo… (Alexander Lahti, Suumpmolk, The LoFi Boi, MrMusicGuy)
DiDiDiG $8.99 13 100% 390 $3.5k (exactly $3,506) ISIT Studio
StarMoon Forest · EA $10.99 7 14% 210 $2.3k (exactly $2,308) VC Power Studio
Xeno Rangers $11.99 4 100% 120 $1.4k (exactly $1,439) 9000 Legends
Fief Lord $3.99 4 75% 120 $479 (exactly $479) 姚子豪
Steal Shift · EA $6.99 2 100% 60 $419 (exactly $419) Fusion Iconic
We Don't Cry: Zombie Survival $11.99 1 0% 30 $360 (exactly $360) Bored Alchemist

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.