Do I ship it?

GamesBase BuildingBase Building + Local Multiplayer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Local Multiplayer Base Building game?

Base Building + Local Multiplayer

Only 14 developers shipped a Local Multiplayer Base Building game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Chip ‘n Clawz vs. The Brainioids, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 28 more are announced, ×7.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $3.6k against a market of $630. 28 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 5.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 35% on the market, 28 announced, ×7.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Base Building + Local Multiplayer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.5k → $1.7k → $6.0k → $299 → $10k
Outcomes for Base Building + Local Multiplayer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $900 (exactly $900)
Median $3.6k (exactly $3,565)
Top 25% $10k (exactly $10,180)
Top 5% $81k (exactly $80,973)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 56
Announced 28
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 35% on the market, supply 60% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Base Building
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Local Multiplayer
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Base Building, Local Multiplayer
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 71% positive over 324 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $900, median $3.6k, 1 in 4 over $10k, 1 in 20 over $80k.

3 in 10 developers made under $900. All of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 28 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×7.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Base Building with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ProgrammingFair13 devs · median $53k · 21 announced
  2. + DwarvesFair12 devs · median $13k · 19 announced
  3. + Bullet HellFair61 devs · median $540 · 67 announced
  4. + DiplomacyPoor odds19 devs · median $520k · 47 announced
  5. + SailingPoor odds9 devs · median $356k · 38 announced
  6. + Dating SimPoor odds19 devs · median $128k · 21 announced
  7. + TrainsPoor odds19 devs · median $113k · 47 announced
  8. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds20 devs · median $73k · 35 announced
  9. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds130 devs · median $72k · 262 announced
  10. + UndergroundPoor odds12 devs · median $65k · 71 announced
  11. + MarsPoor odds15 devs · median $58k · 28 announced
  12. + HistoricalPoor odds81 devs · median $58k · 175 announced

All 175 pairs on the Base Building page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Kingdom Two Crowns older $19.99 31,259 90% 938k $19M (exactly $18,746,022) Fury Studios, Coatsink
Terraforming Mars older $19.99 5,194 71% 156k $3.1M (exactly $3,114,842) Artefacts Studio
Might & Magic: Heroes VI older $9.99 8,545 47% 256k $2.6M (exactly $2,560,936) Blackhole
Command & Conquer™ Generals Zero Hour older $6.96 6,131 91% 184k $1.3M (exactly $1,280,153) EA Pacific
Heroes of Might & Magic V older $9.99 3,983 88% 119k $1.2M (exactly $1,193,705) Nival
Patch Quest older $14.99 2,058 94% 62k $925k (exactly $925,483) Lychee Game Labs
DG2: Defense Grid 2 older $9.99 2,704 86% 81k $810k (exactly $810,389) Hidden Path Entertainment
Yet Another Zombie Defense HD older $3.99 2,561 84% 77k $307k (exactly $306,552) Awesome Games Studio
PixelJunk™ Nom Nom Galaxy older $9.99 808 77% 24k $242k (exactly $242,158) Q-Games Ltd.
Bunhouse older $19.99 395 92% 12k $237k (exactly $236,881) Reky Studios
Chip ‘n Clawz vs. The Brainioids $29.99 90 83% 2.7k $81k (exactly $80,973) Snapshot Games Inc.
Monarchy $14.99 47 78% 1.4k $21k (exactly $21,136) Brain Seal Ltd
Raise Your Tribe · EA $9.99 57 52% 1.7k $17k (exactly $17,083) Primeval Forest Studios
Soviet Survival · EA $4.99 68 75% 2.0k $10k (exactly $10,180) Hunt Studio
Sustained · EA $19.99 10 50% 300 $6.0k (exactly $5,997) Iconic Studios
Crypt Crawler $7.99 15 100% 450 $3.6k (exactly $3,596) Wild Domain
Port Town: Survival $6.99 17 35% 510 $3.6k (exactly $3,565) Emre Şahin
Market Empire Simulator $4.99 14 78% 420 $2.1k (exactly $2,096) Coffeeshake Games
Let's Build Wonders: Galaxy $6.99 5 20% 150 $1.0k (exactly $1,048) Sunjoy Meta
MAINCORE · EA $29.99 1 0% 30 $900 (exactly $900) Milan Prekop

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.