Do I ship it?

GamesBase BuildingBase Building + Local Co-Op

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Local Co-Op Base Building game?

Base Building + Local Co-Op

Only 14 developers shipped a Local Co-Op Base Building game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Grounded 2, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 39 more are announced, ×13 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $2.6k against a market of $630. 39 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 4.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 45% on the market, 39 announced, ×13 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Base Building + Local Co-Op
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $185k → $899 → $21k → $0 → $81k
Outcomes for Base Building + Local Co-Op: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $240 (exactly $240)
Median $2.6k (exactly $2,633)
Top 25% $65k (exactly $65,391)
Top 5% $19M (exactly $19,291,367)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 57
Announced 39
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 45% on the market, supply 75% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Base Building
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Local Co-Op
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Base Building, Local Co-Op; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Co-op, Online Co-Op, Action
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Comedy, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 22,499 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $2.6k, 1 in 4 over $65k, 1 in 20 over $19M.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 7 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 39 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×13 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Base Building with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ProgrammingFair13 devs · median $53k · 21 announced
  2. + DwarvesFair12 devs · median $13k · 19 announced
  3. + Bullet HellFair61 devs · median $540 · 67 announced
  4. + DiplomacyPoor odds19 devs · median $520k · 47 announced
  5. + SailingPoor odds9 devs · median $356k · 38 announced
  6. + Dating SimPoor odds19 devs · median $128k · 21 announced
  7. + TrainsPoor odds19 devs · median $113k · 47 announced
  8. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds20 devs · median $73k · 35 announced
  9. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds130 devs · median $72k · 262 announced
  10. + UndergroundPoor odds12 devs · median $65k · 71 announced
  11. + MarsPoor odds15 devs · median $58k · 28 announced
  12. + HistoricalPoor odds81 devs · median $58k · 175 announced

All 175 pairs on the Base Building page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Grounded 2 · EA $29.99 21,442 82% 643k $19M (exactly $19,291,367) Obsidian Entertainment, Eidos-Montréal
PlateUp! older $19.99 18,500 94% 555k $11M (exactly $11,094,450) It's happening
How to Survive 2 older $14.99 8,641 69% 259k $3.9M (exactly $3,885,858) Eko Software
Kingdom Eighties older $11.99 3,001 75% 90k $1.1M (exactly $1,079,460) Fury Studios
DG2: Defense Grid 2 older $9.99 2,704 86% 81k $810k (exactly $810,389) Hidden Path Entertainment
Lumencraft older $19.99 1,086 75% 33k $651k (exactly $651,274) 2Dynamic Games
Yet Another Zombie Defense HD older $3.99 2,561 84% 77k $307k (exactly $306,552) Awesome Games Studio
PixelJunk™ Nom Nom Galaxy older $9.99 808 77% 24k $242k (exactly $242,158) Q-Games Ltd.
Star Shelter older $19.99 403 78% 12k $242k (exactly $241,679) Overflow
Bunhouse older $19.99 395 92% 12k $237k (exactly $236,881) Reky Studios
Chip ‘n Clawz vs. The Brainioids $29.99 90 83% 2.7k $81k (exactly $80,973) Snapshot Games Inc.
Keep Keepers $17.99 135 87% 4.1k $73k (exactly $72,860) Thunderrock Innovations
iDigging $2.99 729 69% 22k $65k (exactly $65,391) TWEN
Monarchy $14.99 47 78% 1.4k $21k (exactly $21,136) Brain Seal Ltd
Crypt Crawler $7.99 15 100% 450 $3.6k (exactly $3,596) Wild Domain
Sidewalk Simulator · EA $3.99 22 95% 660 $2.6k (exactly $2,633) XCCWARE LLC
Market Empire Simulator $4.99 14 78% 420 $2.1k (exactly $2,096) Coffeeshake Games
Xeno Rangers $11.99 4 100% 120 $1.4k (exactly $1,439) 9000 Legends
Protect Your Humans $7.99 1 100% 30 $240 (exactly $240) RaphMoiteGames

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.