Do I ship it?

GamesBase BuildingBase Building + Hack and Slash

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Base Building Hack and Slash game?

Base Building + Hack and Slash

Of 51 developers who shipped a Base Building Hack and Slash game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 119 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $6.5k, ×10 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.5k; 1 in 20 cleared $730k, ×1167 the market median. Revenue is up 175% on the market; 119 games are announced against 36 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 10.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 175% on the market, 119 announced, ×3.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Base Building + Hack and Slash
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 51
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.3k → $4.6k → $151k → $4.5k → $4.9k → $4.2k → $71k (still earning) → $96k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Base Building + Hack and Slash: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 51
Bottom 30% $1.5k (exactly $1,485)
Median $6.5k (exactly $6,473)
Top 25% $174k (exactly $173,913)
Top 5% $733k (exactly $733,045)
Developers, 2 yr 51
Released games 116
Announced 119
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 175% on the market, supply 140% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Base Building
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Hack and Slash
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Base Building, Hack and Slash; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, RPG, Adventure
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 13,261 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.5k, median $6.5k, 1 in 4 over $170k, 1 in 20 over $730k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.5k. 7 in 10 of the 18 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 119 games are announced against 36 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Base Building with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ProgrammingFair13 devs · median $53k · 21 announced
  2. + DwarvesFair12 devs · median $13k · 19 announced
  3. + Bullet HellFair61 devs · median $540 · 67 announced
  4. + DiplomacyPoor odds19 devs · median $520k · 47 announced
  5. + SailingPoor odds9 devs · median $356k · 38 announced
  6. + Dating SimPoor odds19 devs · median $128k · 21 announced
  7. + TrainsPoor odds19 devs · median $113k · 47 announced
  8. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds20 devs · median $73k · 35 announced
  9. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds130 devs · median $72k · 262 announced
  10. + UndergroundPoor odds12 devs · median $65k · 71 announced
  11. + MarsPoor odds15 devs · median $58k · 28 announced
  12. + HistoricalPoor odds81 devs · median $58k · 175 announced

All 175 pairs on the Base Building page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Riftbreaker older $29.99 22,127 90% 664k $20M (exactly $19,907,662) EXOR Studios
Myth of Empires older $29.99 15,520 68% 466k $14M (exactly $13,963,344) Angela Game
Tribes of Midgard older $19.99 17,465 76% 524k $10M (exactly $10,473,760) Norsfell
Cinderia · EA $17.99 4,763 88% 143k $2.6M (exactly $2,570,591) MyACG Studio
Frozen Flame · EA older $19.99 2,231 61% 67k $1.3M (exactly $1,337,931) Dreamside Interactive
Welcome to ParadiZe older $29.99 1,059 66% 32k $953k (exactly $952,782) Eko Software
Renown · EA $24.99 1,128 53% 34k $846k (exactly $845,662) RDBK Studios
Monsters are Coming! $8.99 2,718 79% 82k $733k (exactly $733,045) Ludogram
Regions Of Ruin older $11.99 1,972 84% 59k $709k (exactly $709,328) Gameclaw Studio
Actraiser Renaissance older $29.99 708 74% 21k $637k (exactly $636,988) Square Enix, Sonic Powered
Anomaly President · EA $14.99 1,376 91% 41k $619k (exactly $618,787) Phew Phew Games
Beyond the Map · EA $19.99 764 77% 23k $458k (exactly $458,171) Glitch Goblins
Survival Machine $19.99 692 69% 21k $415k (exactly $414,992) Grape Pickers
RAIDBORN $24.99 431 66% 13k $323k (exactly $323,121) Phodex Games
Castle Craft $19.99 480 82% 14k $288k (exactly $287,856) Twin Earth
Tamer: King of Dinosaurs · EA $24.99 347 86% 10k $260k (exactly $260,146) Ride the Lion Studios
Soulbound: Online · EA $14.99 562 58% 17k $253k (exactly $252,731) SpiderWare

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.