Do I ship it?

GamesBase BuildingBase Building + Creature Collector

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Creature Collector Base Building game?

Base Building + Creature Collector

Of 50 developers who shipped a Creature Collector Base Building game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 163 more are announced, ×5.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $13k, ×20 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.5k; 1 in 20 cleared $1.2M, ×2031 the market median. Revenue is up 10% on the market; 163 games are announced against 28 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 20.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 10% on the market, 163 announced, ×5.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Base Building + Creature Collector
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 50
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.9k → $1.6k → $1.5k → $13k → $113k → $449 (still earning) → $47k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Base Building + Creature Collector: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 50
Bottom 30% $1.5k (exactly $1,485)
Median $13k (exactly $12,529)
Top 25% $124k (exactly $124,159)
Top 5% $1.3M (exactly $1,275,255)
Developers, 2 yr 50
Released games 94
Announced 163
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 10% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Base Building
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Creature Collector
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Base Building, Creature Collector; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Crafting, Sandbox, Simulation
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Cute, 2D, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 94% positive over 421,610 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.5k, median $13k, 1 in 4 over $120k, 1 in 20 over $1.2M.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.5k. 6 in 10 of the 24 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 163 games are announced against 28 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Base Building with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ProgrammingFair13 devs · median $53k · 21 announced
  2. + DwarvesFair12 devs · median $13k · 19 announced
  3. + Bullet HellFair61 devs · median $540 · 67 announced
  4. + DiplomacyPoor odds19 devs · median $520k · 47 announced
  5. + SailingPoor odds9 devs · median $356k · 38 announced
  6. + Dating SimPoor odds19 devs · median $128k · 21 announced
  7. + TrainsPoor odds19 devs · median $113k · 47 announced
  8. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds20 devs · median $73k · 35 announced
  9. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds130 devs · median $72k · 262 announced
  10. + UndergroundPoor odds12 devs · median $65k · 71 announced
  11. + MarsPoor odds15 devs · median $58k · 28 announced
  12. + HistoricalPoor odds81 devs · median $58k · 175 announced

All 175 pairs on the Base Building page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Palworld $29.99 411,947 94% 12M $371M (exactly $370,628,716) Pocketpair
Towers of Aghasba · EA $29.99 1,904 67% 57k $1.7M (exactly $1,713,029) Dreamlit inc.
Witchspire · EA $22.99 1,849 82% 55k $1.3M (exactly $1,275,255) Envar Games
Patch Quest older $14.99 2,058 94% 62k $925k (exactly $925,483) Lychee Game Labs
Anomaly President · EA $14.99 1,376 91% 41k $619k (exactly $618,787) Phew Phew Games
Dinotica $17.99 746 86% 22k $403k (exactly $402,616) XA Studio
Island Notes $12.99 884 82% 27k $344k (exactly $344,495) KangBaoGame
Atrio: The Dark Wild older $19.99 563 78% 17k $338k (exactly $337,631) Isto Inc.
CleanFall · EA $19.99 492 92% 15k $295k (exactly $295,052) Humanyoyo
Your Big, Cute Monster Farm $7.99 1,097 78% 33k $263k (exactly $262,951) KaiPlay Studio
The Monster Breeder $29.99 272 91% 8.2k $245k (exactly $244,718) Fantasy Creations
My Little Life $5.99 1,043 89% 31k $187k (exactly $187,427) 9FingerGames

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.