Do I ship it?

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Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Auto Battler Tactical RPG?

Tactical RPG + Auto Battler

Of 62 developers who shipped an Auto Battler Tactical RPG in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 120 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $4.2k, ×6.7 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $750k, ×1202 the market median. Revenue is down 35% on the market; 120 games are announced against 44 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 6.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 35% on the market, 120 announced, ×2.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tactical RPG + Auto Battler
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 62
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.7k → $449 → $2.3k → $6.0k → $11k → $7.2k → $8.1k (still earning) → $599 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Tactical RPG + Auto Battler: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 62
Bottom 30% $599 (exactly $599)
Median $4.2k (exactly $4,196)
Top 25% $21k (exactly $20,503)
Top 5% $755k (exactly $754,597)
Developers, 2 yr 62
Released games 147
Announced 120
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 35% on the market, supply 130% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 22%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tactical RPG
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Auto Battler
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Tactical RPG, Auto Battler; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, RPG, Tactical
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $15.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Colorful, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $15.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 12,322 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $4.2k, 1 in 4 over $20k, 1 in 20 over $750k.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 7 in 10 of the 30 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 120 games are announced against 44 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tactical RPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Roguelike DeckbuilderFair24 devs · median $9.0k · 29 announced
  2. + Mystery DungeonFair30 devs · median $2.4k · 24 announced
  3. + Space SimFair9 devs · median $1.8k · 15 announced
  4. + Point & ClickFair21 devs · median $839 · 26 announced
  5. + 2D PlatformerFair58 devs · median $599 · 49 announced
  6. + Asynchronous MultiplayerPoor odds10 devs · median $63k · 16 announced
  7. + Colony SimPoor odds16 devs · median $41k · 29 announced
  8. + SandboxPoor odds42 devs · median $20k · 102 announced
  9. + Turn-BasedPoor odds61 devs · median $18k · 81 announced
  10. + RobotsPoor odds15 devs · median $17k · 27 announced
  11. + RomancePoor odds23 devs · median $10k · 38 announced
  12. + WarPoor odds80 devs · median $8.7k · 143 announced

All 145 pairs on the Tactical RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Symphony of War: The Nephilim Saga 2022 · $7.7M Gladiator Guild Manager 2024 · $1.7M The Great Villainess: Strategy of Lily 2025 · $1.4M Dwarves: Glory, Death and Loot 2026 · $1.2M Tales & Tactics 2024 · $937k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Symphony of War: The Nephilim Saga older $19.99 12,880 94% 386k $7.7M (exactly $7,724,136) Dancing Dragon Games
Gladiator Guild Manager older $14.99 3,808 80% 114k $1.7M (exactly $1,712,458) Entertainment Forge
The Great Villainess: Strategy of Lily $29.99 1,529 85% 46k $1.4M (exactly $1,375,641) Alliance Arts, One or Eight, WSS Playgr… (Alliance Arts, One or Eight, WSS Playground)
Dwarves: Glory, Death and Loot $14.99 2,588 82% 78k $1.2M (exactly $1,163,824) Hamma Studios
Tales & Tactics older $17.99 1,737 80% 52k $937k (exactly $937,459) Table 9 Studio
Oaken Tower · EA $9.99 3,024 89% 91k $906k (exactly $906,293) Bocary Studios
Cauldron $14.99 1,678 92% 50k $755k (exactly $754,597) SleepyDad Games
Disgaea 6 Complete older $59.99 387 63% 12k $696k (exactly $696,484) Nippon Ichi Software, Inc.
Titanium Court $14.99 1,094 94% 33k $492k (exactly $491,972) AP Thomson
Vivid World $19.99 591 88% 18k $354k (exactly $354,423) Asobism.Co.,Ltd
Never Second in Rome $12.99 637 81% 19k $248k (exactly $248,239) Alessandro Roberti
Seer's Gambit $14.99 490 76% 15k $220k (exactly $220,353) Unleash The Giraffe
Ascend From Nine Mountains · EA $19.99 324 92% 9.7k $194k (exactly $194,303) Nine Ascension Studios
Hive Blight · EA $12.49 367 94% 11k $138k (exactly $137,515) OptizOnion

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.