Games › Sandbox › Sandbox + Assassins
Should I ship an Assassin Sandbox?
Sandbox + Assassins
Only 5 developers shipped an Assassin Sandbox in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Suit for Hire, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced, ×20 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.
Only 1 developer shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $1.8k against a market of $1.5k. 20 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $180 (exactly $180) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.8k (exactly $1,798) |
| Top 25% | $18k (exactly $17,538) |
| Top 5% | $1.5M (exactly $1,467,371) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 5 |
| Released games | 29 |
| Announced | 20 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 75% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- Sandbox
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 88% positive over 252,680 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $180. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 20 games are announced against 1 developer who shipped in the last year, ×20 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Sandbox with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FightingStrong odds
- + Turn-BasedFair
- + World War IIFair
- + MinigamesFair
- + ProgrammingFair
- + CatsFair
- + SportsFair
- + GamblingFair
- + Auto BattlerFair
- + Combat RacingFair
- + Trading Card GameFair
- + IdlerFair
Comparable games
HITMAN World of Assassination 2022 · $53M 
Middle-earth™: Shadow of Mordor™ 2014 · $38M 
Assassin's Creed 2 2010 · $35M 
Assassin’s Creed® Brotherhood 2011 · $15M 
Assassin's Creed® Revelations 2011 · $12M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | HITMAN World of Assassination | older | $29.99 | 58,655 87% | 1.8M | $53M (exactly $52,771,904) | IO Interactive A/S |
| | Middle-earth™: Shadow of Mordor™ | older | $19.99 | 63,815 92% | 1.9M | $38M (exactly $38,269,856) | Monolith Productions |
| | Assassin's Creed 2 | older | $19.99 | 57,661 89% | 1.7M | $35M (exactly $34,579,302) | Ubisoft Montreal |
| | Assassin’s Creed® Brotherhood | older | $19.99 | 24,958 88% | 749k | $15M (exactly $14,967,313) | Ubisoft Montreal |
| | Assassin's Creed® Revelations | older | $19.99 | 19,244 83% | 577k | $12M (exactly $11,540,627) | Ubisoft Montreal |
 | Hitman: Blood Money | older | $9.99 | 13,642 93% | 409k | $4.1M (exactly $4,088,507) | Io-Interactive A/S |
 | Suit for Hire | $14.99 | 3,263 92% | 98k | $1.5M (exactly $1,467,371) | Godmode Interactive | |
 | Endorphin Vice | · EA older | $9.99 | 3,436 56% | 103k | $1.0M (exactly $1,029,769) | Endorphin Studios |
 | Hitman: Codename 47 | older | $7.99 | 4,258 70% | 128k | $1.0M (exactly $1,020,643) | IO Interactive A/S |
 | Hitman 2: Silent Assassin | older | $8.99 | 3,748 81% | 112k | $1.0M (exactly $1,010,836) | Io-Interactive A/S |
 | Red Tears: Angola | · EA | $14.99 | 39 84% | 1.2k | $18k (exactly $17,538) | Arun Haines |
 | Sipssassin | $9.99 | 6 100% | 180 | $1.8k (exactly $1,798) | Simmering Studios | |
 | Niut | $3.00 | 2 50% | 60 | $180 (exactly $180) | AF Works ® | |
 | Pew Pew Gaem 3 | $0.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $30 (exactly $30) | Saem |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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