Should I ship an Assassin PvP game?
PvP + Assassins
Only 10 developers shipped an Assassin PvP game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Stealth Syndicate, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 33 more are announced, ×8.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 8 / 10 build.
Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $270 against a market of $1.5k. 33 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $90 (exactly $90) |
|---|---|
| Median | $269 (exactly $269) |
| Top 25% | $597 (exactly $597) |
| Top 5% | $958 (exactly $958) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 10 |
| Released games | 46 |
| Announced | 33 |
| Effort | 8 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $3.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 140% on the market, supply 35% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 8 / 10 · online systems, open world
- Systems
- PvP
- Price point
- $3.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 8 games average 66% positive over 29 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $90. All of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 33 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×8.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
PvP with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + BaseballFair
- + TransportationFair
- + BasketballFair
- + Football (American)Fair
- + BikesFair
- + GolfFair
- + World War IFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + BilliardsFair
- + TennisLong shot
- + TypingLong shot
- + SpellingLong shot
Comparable games
Counter-Strike 2000 · $51M 
DEATHLOOP 2021 · $36M 
Sniper Ghost Warrior Contracts 2019 · $9.9M 
Deceive Inc. 2023 · $2.9M 
West Hunt 2023 · $456k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Counter-Strike | older | $9.99 | 169,780 96% | 5.1M | $51M (exactly $50,883,066) | Valve |
| | DEATHLOOP | older | $59.99 | 19,910 76% | 597k | $36M (exactly $35,832,027) | Arkane Studios |
| | Sniper Ghost Warrior Contracts | older | $29.99 | 10,966 73% | 329k | $9.9M (exactly $9,866,110) | CI Games |
| | Deceive Inc. | older | $19.99 | 4,755 84% | 143k | $2.9M (exactly $2,851,574) | Sweet Bandits Studios |
| | West Hunt | older | $9.99 | 1,522 84% | 46k | $456k (exactly $456,143) | NewGen |
 | Eville | older | $14.99 | 433 68% | 13k | $195k (exactly $194,720) | VestGames |
 | Lycans | older | $4.99 | 309 91% | 9.3k | $46k (exactly $46,257) | Onu Games |
 | SPECTRE | · EA older | $9.99 | 76 55% | 2.3k | $23k (exactly $22,777) | Symbiosis Games |
 | Eruption 爆发 | · EA older | $4.99 | 26 84% | 780 | $3.9k (exactly $3,892) | DBH |
 | Band of Brigands | older | $11.99 | 9 88% | 270 | $3.2k (exactly $3,237) | ProtoGames |
 | Stealth Syndicate | $3.99 | 8 100% | 240 | $958 (exactly $958) | Vincent Lopes-Vicente | |
 | ShadowStrikeVR | · EA | $9.99 | 3 0% | 90 | $899 (exactly $899) | Charming Game Studio |
 | Kill Wilbo | $1.99 | 10 100% | 300 | $597 (exactly $597) | Void Chamber | |
 | SUSPECTO | · EA | $5.99 | 2 0% | 60 | $359 (exactly $359) | YORQ Studios |
 | Assassins Arena | $2.99 | 3 0% | 90 | $269 (exactly $269) | Nightshade Interactive | |
 | CARNEVALE: Blades in the Crowd | $6.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $210 (exactly $210) | Racc PG | |
 | King Assassination | $2.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $90 (exactly $90) | Softera Gaming | |
 | Murder&Spies | $1.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $60 (exactly $60) | navlikesbunnies | |
 | Who Killed | · EA | $2.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Red Ray Games |
 | Broken Pact | · EA | $3.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Samuka Gomes |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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