Games › Physics › Physics + Assassins
Should I ship an Assassin Physics game?
Physics + Assassins
Only 8 developers shipped an Assassin Physics game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Detective Penguin, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 13 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.
Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $1.4k against a market of $1.5k. 13 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $210 (exactly $210) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.4k (exactly $1,438) |
| Top 25% | $8.4k (exactly $8,392) |
| Top 5% | $11k (exactly $11,324) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 8 |
| Released games | 26 |
| Announced | 13 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $6.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 23%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- Physics
- Price point
- $6.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $16.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 77% positive over 17,974 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $210. 13 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Physics with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Roguelike DeckbuilderStrong odds
- + Dating SimFair
- + PinballFair
- + World War IIFair
- + Mini GolfFair
- + GolfFair
- + CollectathonFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + CatsFair
- + Mystery DungeonFair
- + BilliardsFair
Comparable games
Sniper Ghost Warrior Contracts 2 2021 · $15M 
Endorphin Vice 2022 · EA · $1.0M 
Shadwen 2016 · $535k 
Frenzy VR 2022 · EA · $92k 
Brush Burial 2023 · $58k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Sniper Ghost Warrior Contracts 2 | older | $39.99 | 12,781 83% | 383k | $15M (exactly $15,333,366) | CI Games |
| | Endorphin Vice | · EA older | $9.99 | 3,436 56% | 103k | $1.0M (exactly $1,029,769) | Endorphin Studios |
| | Shadwen | older | $16.99 | 1,049 77% | 31k | $535k (exactly $534,675) | Frozenbyte |
| | Frenzy VR | · EA older | $14.99 | 205 60% | 6.2k | $92k (exactly $92,188) | Innoverse Ltd |
| | Brush Burial | older | $6.99 | 276 87% | 8.3k | $58k (exactly $57,877) | Knife Demon Software |
 | The Cleaner | older | $9.99 | 96 59% | 2.9k | $29k (exactly $28,771) | Dystopia Corp |
 | Detective Penguin | $6.99 | 54 87% | 1.6k | $11k (exactly $11,324) | That Other Fish, That Fish | |
 | Toastercide | $9.99 | 28 100% | 840 | $8.4k (exactly $8,392) | The Chairman | |
 | Evil Superhero VR - Superhero Simulator | older | $4.99 | 32 53% | 960 | $4.8k (exactly $4,790) | Anark Studios |
 | Reverse Fishing | $4.99 | 17 94% | 510 | $2.5k (exactly $2,545) | Doug | |
 | Subzero Stealth | · EA | $7.99 | 6 100% | 180 | $1.4k (exactly $1,438) | Verona Interactive |
 | Yindy | $4.99 | 5 100% | 150 | $748 (exactly $748) | Tidley 羊 | |
 | CARNEVALE: Blades in the Crowd | $6.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $210 (exactly $210) | Racc PG | |
 | Backrooms: The Wrong Door | · EA | $1.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $60 (exactly $60) | SUDT Games |
 | Death's Life 2 | $9.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Umbu Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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