Do I ship it?

GamesStealthStealth + Artificial Intelligence

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an AI Stealth game?

Stealth + Artificial Intelligence

Of 46 developers who shipped an AI Stealth game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 101 more are announced, ×3.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360, ×0.6 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $60. 101 games are announced against 29 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.5 per shipper, while revenue is down 70% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 70% on the market, 101 announced, ×3.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Stealth + Artificial Intelligence
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 46
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.2k → $9.9k → $46k → $899 → $748 → $599 → $150 (still earning) → $6.7k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Stealth + Artificial Intelligence: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 46
Bottom 30% $60 (exactly $60)
Median $359 (exactly $359)
Top 25% $3.9k (exactly $3,897)
Top 5% $760k (exactly $759,820)
Developers, 2 yr 46
Released games 147
Announced 101
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 70% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Stealth
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Artificial Intelligence
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Stealth; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Combat
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Atmospheric, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 19,338 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $60, median $360, 1 in 4 over $3.8k, 1 in 20 over $750k.

3 in 10 developers made under $60. 9 in 10 of the 17 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 101 games are announced against 29 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Stealth with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + JRPGFair7 devs · median $1.3k · 12 announced
  2. + World War IIPoor odds11 devs · median $43k · 14 announced
  3. + LGBTQ+Poor odds19 devs · median $30k · 30 announced
  4. + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds8 devs · median $27k · 31 announced
  5. + WargamePoor odds10 devs · median $21k · 39 announced
  6. + DinosaursPoor odds10 devs · median $17k · 23 announced
  7. + Gun CustomizationPoor odds20 devs · median $13k · 63 announced
  8. + Base BuildingPoor odds21 devs · median $13k · 57 announced
  9. + Cold WarPoor odds7 devs · median $10k · 31 announced
  10. + HistoricalPoor odds32 devs · median $9.6k · 76 announced
  11. + MilitaryPoor odds43 devs · median $8.5k · 122 announced
  12. + WarPoor odds30 devs · median $7.6k · 89 announced

All 159 pairs on the Stealth page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Five Nights at Freddy's: Security Breach older $39.99 65,350 86% 2.0M $78M (exactly $78,400,395) Steel Wool Studios
Five Nights at Freddy's: Secret of the Mimic $39.99 10,874 86% 326k $13M (exactly $13,045,538) Steel Wool Studios
Horizon Zero Dawn™ Remastered $49.99 6,860 84% 206k $10M (exactly $10,287,942) Guerrilla Games, Nixxes Software
Nuclear Option · EA older $19.99 10,275 95% 308k $6.2M (exactly $6,161,917) Shockfront Studios
Hello Neighbor 2 older $39.99 4,361 81% 131k $5.2M (exactly $5,231,892) Eerie Guest, tinyBuild
GERONIMO · EA $19.99 1,267 81% 38k $760k (exactly $759,820) Dark Matter Studios
Evil Nun: The Broken Mask older $19.99 1,084 95% 33k $650k (exactly $650,075) Keplerians, Carlos Coronado
Anonymous Hacker Simulator older $19.99 741 85% 22k $444k (exactly $444,378) Sicarius
Haunt Chaser older $14.99 570 67% 17k $256k (exactly $256,329) Clock Wizard Games
The Escape: Together · EA older $3.99 2,023 79% 61k $242k (exactly $242,153) Nightstuff Games
Libertine: King of Hearts $19.99 96 85% 2.9k $58k (exactly $57,571) Hasnotalent Media
Into The Darkness VR · EA $19.99 35 37% 1.1k $21k (exactly $20,990) Cosmos Games, 9 lives
Separated · EA $9.99 65 66% 2.0k $19k (exactly $19,480) Twisted Realm
Regulators $14.99 35 100% 1.1k $16k (exactly $15,740) Orangepixel
DeathOmen $6.99 48 75% 1.4k $10k (exactly $10,066) Jeff Winner
Veil of Mist $5.99 43 55% 1.3k $7.7k (exactly $7,727) Ember Wing Games
Animosity $14.99 15 93% 450 $6.7k (exactly $6,746) Red River Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.