Do I ship it?

GamesGun CustomizationGun Customization + Artificial Intelligence

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an AI Gun Customization game?

Gun Customization + Artificial Intelligence

Only 7 developers shipped an AI Gun Customization game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Dagger Directive, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 31 more are announced, ×7.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $14k against a market of $630. 31 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 22.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 620% on the market, 31 announced, ×7.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Gun Customization + Artificial Intelligence
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 7

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Gun Customization + Artificial Intelligence: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 7
Bottom 30% $4.1k (exactly $4,133)
Median $14k (exactly $14,390)
Top 25% $163k (exactly $162,937)
Top 5% $481k (exactly $480,959)
Developers, 2 yr 7
Released games 36
Announced 31
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $14.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 620% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Gun Customization
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Artificial Intelligence
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Gun Customization
Price point
$14.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 13,657 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $4.2k, median $14k, 1 in 4 over $160k, 1 in 20 over $480k.

3 in 10 developers made under $4.2k. 31 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×7.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Gun Customization with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Tower DefenseFair26 devs · median $958 · 32 announced
  2. + DystopianPoor odds16 devs · median $51k · 58 announced
  3. + Immersive SimPoor odds12 devs · median $25k · 44 announced
  4. + BuildingPoor odds13 devs · median $16k · 39 announced
  5. + Survival HorrorPoor odds26 devs · median $14k · 55 announced
  6. + ModernPoor odds18 devs · median $14k · 38 announced
  7. + MilitaryPoor odds50 devs · median $13k · 126 announced
  8. + StealthPoor odds20 devs · median $13k · 63 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds31 devs · median $11k · 92 announced
  10. + MechsPoor odds12 devs · median $11k · 32 announced
  11. + Resource ManagementPoor odds28 devs · median $11k · 71 announced
  12. + Base BuildingPoor odds23 devs · median $9.1k · 64 announced

All 93 pairs on the Gun Customization page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
From the Depths older $24.99 11,059 89% 332k $8.3M (exactly $8,290,932) Brilliant Skies Ltd.
Hubris older $29.99 819 74% 25k $737k (exactly $736,854) Cyborn B.V.
Dagger Directive $19.99 802 83% 24k $481k (exactly $480,959) Arcane Alpacas LLC
C.A.S.T. (CHERNOZEM ANOMALY STRIKE TEAM) $6.99 777 87% 23k $163k (exactly $162,937) BRAIN DOES (NOT) WORK
Libertine: King of Hearts $19.99 96 85% 2.9k $58k (exactly $57,571) Hasnotalent Media
Seven Cities · EA $14.99 32 87% 960 $14k (exactly $14,390) IMV Studio
Death Harvest · EA older $12.99 26 69% 780 $10k (exactly $10,132) LaserOnion
Aegis Descent older $9.99 23 69% 690 $6.9k (exactly $6,893) Traega Entertainment
BangBang PewPew older $24.99 8 87% 240 $6.0k (exactly $5,998) Molerat Digital Art Ltd.
Target React Force older $12.99 15 53% 450 $5.8k (exactly $5,846) Inside Universe
RolemIAster · EA $5.99 23 56% 690 $4.1k (exactly $4,133) ABAFE
Assault Commander Rearmed $11.99 5 80% 150 $1.8k (exactly $1,798) VTDev Informatikai Kft.
Cyber Spartan · EA $14.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) PLICA GAMES

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.