Do I ship it?

GamesCo-op CampaignCo-op Campaign + Arena Shooter

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Co-op Campaign Arena Shooter?

Co-op Campaign + Arena Shooter

Only 15 developers shipped a Co-op Campaign Arena Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Echo Point Nova, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 14 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×0.6 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150. Revenue is down 80% on the market, with 14 games announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 80% on the market, 14 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Co-op Campaign + Arena Shooter
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 15
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $898 → $60k → $2.0k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Co-op Campaign + Arena Shooter: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 15
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $898 (exactly $898)
Top 25% $11k (exactly $10,522)
Top 5% $5.6M (exactly $5,638,494)
Developers, 2 yr 15
Released games 25
Announced 14
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Co-op Campaign
effort 8 / 10 · low · shared campaign state over the network
Arena Shooter
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Co-op Campaign, Arena Shooter
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 95% positive over 8,660 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $900, 1 in 4 over $10k, 1 in 20 over $5.6M.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 7 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 14 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Co-op Campaign with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Open WorldPoor odds17 devs · median $267k · 65 announced
  2. + ZombiesPoor odds12 devs · median $27k · 22 announced
  3. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds18 devs · median $27k · 27 announced
  4. + SurvivalPoor odds18 devs · median $16k · 44 announced
  5. + HorrorPoor odds31 devs · median $14k · 66 announced
  6. + Survival HorrorPoor odds19 devs · median $14k · 39 announced
  7. + ExplorationPoor odds54 devs · median $14k · 153 announced
  8. + Sci-fiPoor odds40 devs · median $13k · 78 announced
  9. + Puzzle PlatformerPoor odds26 devs · median $9.0k · 53 announced
  10. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds19 devs · median $6.6k · 29 announced
  11. + PlatformerPoor odds32 devs · median $6.5k · 90 announced
  12. + CraftingPoor odds17 devs · median $6.2k · 34 announced

All 81 pairs on the Co-op Campaign page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Echo Point Nova $24.99 7,521 96% 226k $5.6M (exactly $5,638,494) Greylock Studio
Astroloot · EA $6.99 587 92% 18k $123k (exactly $123,094) Andreas Hager Gaming
Broventure: The Wild Co-op $4.99 398 72% 12k $60k (exactly $59,581) Alice Games
Toy Tanks older $9.99 64 89% 1.9k $19k (exactly $19,181) Fuzzy Sock Studios
QUADRICOLOR: Ultra Sentai Color Ranger $12.99 27 96% 810 $11k (exactly $10,522) Quadri Team
Gravity Heroes older $9.99 13 92% 390 $3.9k (exactly $3,896) Studica Solution, Electric Monkeys
FLESHCANCER · EA $2.99 41 87% 1.2k $3.7k (exactly $3,678) Empires of the Cake
Cymatically Muffed older $14.99 8 87% 240 $3.6k (exactly $3,598) Kelsam
Final Foe older $12.99 6 66% 180 $2.3k (exactly $2,338) Alekliart
Hunt Zombies Together $0.99 69 86% 2.1k $2.0k (exactly $2,049) cnsgames
Death Metal Derby $14.99 3 100% 90 $1.3k (exactly $1,349) Turtle Duck Studio
TANK ZERO $5.99 5 100% 150 $898 (exactly $898) Emergency Exit
Rogue Tanks $4.99 6 100% 180 $898 (exactly $898) Clayton Games
SPASE DEFENSE $5.99 3 100% 90 $539 (exactly $539) Leo Torrijos

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.