Do I ship it?

GamesReal Time TacticsReal Time Tactics + Arcade

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Arcade Real Time Tactics?

Real Time Tactics + Arcade

Of 138 developers who shipped an Arcade Real Time Tactics in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 136 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $120 in the last 2 years and $180 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 78 developers shipped in the last year and 136 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 10% on the market, 136 announced, ×1.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Real Time Tactics + Arcade
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 138
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $599 → $599 → $299 → $60 → $748 → $210 → $60 (still earning) → $299 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Real Time Tactics + Arcade: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 138
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $120 (exactly $120)
Top 25% $1.0k (exactly $1,040)
Top 5% $29k (exactly $28,794)
Developers, 2 yr 138
Released games 364
Announced 136
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 10% on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Real Time Tactics
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Arcade
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Real Time Tactics, Arcade; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Action, Puzzle
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Colorful, Cute, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 72% positive over 44,581 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $120, 1 in 4 over $1.0k, 1 in 20 over $28k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 83 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 136 games are announced against 78 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Real Time Tactics with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + DragonsStrong odds17 devs · median $6.6k · 19 announced
  2. + Outbreak SimFair12 devs · median $1.8k · 14 announced
  3. + HackingFair11 devs · median $987 · 11 announced
  4. + World War IIPoor odds24 devs · median $67k · 35 announced
  5. + Cold WarPoor odds9 devs · median $19k · 16 announced
  6. + HistoricalPoor odds88 devs · median $19k · 154 announced
  7. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds19 devs · median $16k · 31 announced
  8. + Real-TimePoor odds16 devs · median $16k · 26 announced
  9. + MechsPoor odds16 devs · median $13k · 32 announced
  10. + Vehicular CombatPoor odds20 devs · median $9.6k · 50 announced
  11. + God GamePoor odds19 devs · median $7.8k · 32 announced
  12. + Open WorldPoor odds29 devs · median $7.2k · 111 announced

All 176 pairs on the Real Time Tactics page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
REMATCH $29.99 39,905 70% 1.2M $36M (exactly $35,902,528) Sloclap
Nuclear Option · EA older $19.99 10,275 95% 308k $6.2M (exactly $6,161,917) Shockfront Studios
Drop Duchy $14.99 2,962 89% 89k $1.3M (exactly $1,332,011) Sleepy Mill Studio
Children of the Sun older $14.99 2,005 92% 60k $902k (exactly $901,648) René Rother
Cavalry Girls older $11.99 1,877 88% 56k $675k (exactly $675,157) 中子星游戏研究所
Darwinia older $11.99 781 78% 23k $281k (exactly $280,926) Introversion Software
Okhlos: Omega older $12.99 633 78% 19k $247k (exactly $246,680) Coffee Powered Machine
Attack on Toys · EA older $6.99 1,158 93% 35k $243k (exactly $242,833) N7T-GAMES
Arcade Tycoon ™ : Simulation Game older $14.99 452 80% 14k $203k (exactly $203,264) Squidpunch Studios, Vincent Ltd
College Bowl older $24.99 263 84% 7.9k $197k (exactly $197,171) Super Pixel Games
Motion Soccer PRO $19.99 223 79% 6.7k $134k (exactly $133,733) Ivanovich Games
Dice People $2.99 719 90% 22k $64k (exactly $64,494) Mateusk2m, Manodeix
Antivirus Girl $7.99 169 88% 5.1k $41k (exactly $40,509) Chowbie
Smilers Den Deluxxx $6.99 160 84% 4.8k $34k (exactly $33,552) MikiY
Hyper Chess $2.99 321 92% 9.6k $29k (exactly $28,794) Grouch, SuitNtie
IRON GUARD: Salvation $17.99 44 93% 1.3k $24k (exactly $23,747) Xlab Digital
DeTechtive 2112 $10.99 60 46% 1.8k $20k (exactly $19,782) M11 Studio
Bullet: Surge $15.99 18 94% 540 $8.6k (exactly $8,635) Cerbere Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.