Do I ship it?

GamesFarming SimFarming Sim + Arcade

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Arcade Farming Sim?

Farming Sim + Arcade

Of 28 developers who shipped an Arcade Farming Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 40 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $890, ×1.9 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $26k, ×57 the market median. Revenue is up 330% on the market; 40 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 330% on the market, 40 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Farming Sim + Arcade
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 28
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $539 → $1.0k → $3.0k → $598 → $891 → $2.4k → $1.8k (still earning) → $16k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Farming Sim + Arcade: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 28
Bottom 30% $238 (exactly $238)
Median $891 (exactly $891)
Top 25% $3.8k (exactly $3,774)
Top 5% $27k (exactly $26,846)
Developers, 2 yr 28
Released games 69
Announced 40
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 330% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Farming Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Arcade
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Farming Sim, Arcade; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Idler, Management
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Cute, Cartoony
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 517 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $890, 1 in 4 over $3.7k, 1 in 20 over $26k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. All of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 40 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Farming Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorFair19 devs · median $12k · 23 announced
  2. + DogsFair18 devs · median $4.1k · 20 announced
  3. + IncrementalFair140 devs · median $1.6k · 168 announced
  4. + IdlerFair208 devs · median $1.3k · 211 announced
  5. + TacticalFair12 devs · median $897 · 10 announced
  6. + Artificial IntelligenceFair17 devs · median $718 · 16 announced
  7. + God GameLong shot22 devs · median $359 · 24 announced
  8. + Visual NovelLong shot11 devs · median $239 · 13 announced
  9. + LGBTQ+Poor odds10 devs · median $146k · 16 announced
  10. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds11 devs · median $111k · 25 announced
  11. + JRPGPoor odds14 devs · median $89k · 20 announced
  12. + HorsesPoor odds14 devs · median $70k · 20 announced

All 102 pairs on the Farming Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Call of the Wild: The Angler™ older $29.99 6,122 63% 184k $5.5M (exactly $5,507,963) Expansive Worlds
Crypto Mining Simulator older $4.99 1,419 65% 43k $212k (exactly $212,424) Satosha Nakamoti
Pesticide Not Required older $6.50 816 93% 24k $159k (exactly $159,120) Jampacked Games
Best Forklift Operator older $19.99 224 75% 6.7k $134k (exactly $134,333) Simmersiv
Creatura older $14.99 214 67% 6.4k $96k (exactly $96,236) Koksny.com
The Economy Bros $19.99 56 82% 1.7k $34k (exactly $33,583) Devin Carlson
Milking Mira! older $3.99 232 92% 7.0k $28k (exactly $27,770) Tentakero
Slice the Crops! $5.49 163 80% 4.9k $27k (exactly $26,846) Wobblers Games
Guardener older $4.99 145 83% 4.4k $22k (exactly $21,706) Sokpop Collective
Poop Clicker older $0.99 725 76% 22k $22k (exactly $21,532) Serge Kornew
Super Farming Boy · EA $12.99 42 85% 1.3k $16k (exactly $16,367) LemonChili Soft
Pachinko Farm · EA $6.99 78 76% 2.3k $16k (exactly $16,357) Witchcraft Entertainment
CAT CAT CAT CAT CAT CAT CAT CAT CAT CAT CAT $4.99 72 86% 2.2k $11k (exactly $10,778) CodeTheory Ltd
Tap Derby: Horse Racing $4.99 36 91% 1.1k $5.4k (exactly $5,389) Frost Warrior Studios
Wrangle Ranch $5.99 21 95% 630 $3.8k (exactly $3,774) BenBonk, XraiDev
Extreme Forklifting 3 · EA $7.99 13 100% 390 $3.1k (exactly $3,116) DevM Games
Crypto Mining $4.99 16 12% 480 $2.4k (exactly $2,395) KA1LEOT GROUP
Storm Burst: Tornado Alley $3.99 20 65% 600 $2.4k (exactly $2,394) Breaking Dimensions, Polygon Dust Enter… (Breaking Dimensions, Polygon Dust Entertainment Ltd.)

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.