Do I ship it?

GamesCo-op CampaignCo-op Campaign + Arcade

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Co-op Campaign Arcade game?

Co-op Campaign + Arcade

Of 63 developers who shipped a Co-op Campaign Arcade game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 108 more are announced, ×3.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, ×0.4 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180. 108 games are announced against 35 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper, while revenue is down 30% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 30% on the market, 108 announced, ×3.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Co-op Campaign + Arcade
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 63
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $10k → $26k → $2.1k → $2.1k → $599 → $628 → $599 (still earning) → $300 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Co-op Campaign + Arcade: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 63
Bottom 30% $180 (exactly $180)
Median $600 (exactly $600)
Top 25% $4.8k (exactly $4,795)
Top 5% $45k (exactly $44,978)
Developers, 2 yr 63
Released games 202
Announced 108
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 30% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Co-op Campaign
effort 8 / 10 · low · shared campaign state over the network
Arcade
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Co-op Campaign, Arcade; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Co-op, Local Co-Op
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Colorful, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 12,065 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $600, 1 in 4 over $4.7k, 1 in 20 over $44k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. All of the 30 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 108 games are announced against 35 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Co-op Campaign with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Open WorldPoor odds17 devs · median $267k · 65 announced
  2. + ZombiesPoor odds12 devs · median $27k · 22 announced
  3. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds18 devs · median $27k · 27 announced
  4. + SurvivalPoor odds18 devs · median $16k · 44 announced
  5. + HorrorPoor odds31 devs · median $14k · 66 announced
  6. + Survival HorrorPoor odds19 devs · median $14k · 39 announced
  7. + ExplorationPoor odds54 devs · median $14k · 153 announced
  8. + Sci-fiPoor odds40 devs · median $13k · 78 announced
  9. + Puzzle PlatformerPoor odds26 devs · median $9.0k · 53 announced
  10. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds19 devs · median $6.6k · 29 announced
  11. + PlatformerPoor odds32 devs · median $6.5k · 90 announced
  12. + CraftingPoor odds17 devs · median $6.2k · 34 announced

All 81 pairs on the Co-op Campaign page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Sonic Racing: CrossWorlds $69.99 11,479 93% 344k $24M (exactly $24,102,456) Sonic Team
Streets of Rage 4 older $24.99 17,293 92% 519k $13M (exactly $12,964,562) Dotemu, Guard Crush, Lizardcube
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Shredder's Revenge older $24.99 12,961 94% 389k $9.7M (exactly $9,716,862) Tribute Games Inc.
Overcooked older $16.99 13,528 89% 406k $6.9M (exactly $6,895,222) Ghost Town Games Ltd.
Overcooked! All You Can Eat older $39.99 5,744 73% 172k $6.9M (exactly $6,891,077) Team17 Digital, Ghost Town Games
Raw Data older $39.99 2,036 81% 61k $2.4M (exactly $2,442,589) Survios
Lara Croft and the Guardian of Light older $9.99 3,566 92% 107k $1.1M (exactly $1,068,730) Crystal Dynamics
Cook, Serve, Delicious! 3?! older $19.99 1,768 93% 53k $1.1M (exactly $1,060,270) Vertigo Gaming Inc.
Superfighters Deluxe older $9.99 3,114 89% 93k $933k (exactly $933,266) MythoLogic Interactive
Sir Whoopass™: Immortal Death older $16.99 1,338 82% 40k $682k (exactly $681,979) Atomic Elbow
Truxton Extreme $24.99 93 95% 2.8k $70k (exactly $69,722) Tatsujin
Revolgear Zero $14.99 125 98% 3.8k $56k (exactly $56,212) Bikkuri Software
RUSHING BEAT X: Return Of Brawl Brothers $19.99 75 76% 2.3k $45k (exactly $44,978) CITY CONNECTION
Saint Slayer: Spear of Sacrilege $9.99 109 94% 3.3k $33k (exactly $32,667) Lillymo Games
No Way Home $9.99 76 88% 2.3k $23k (exactly $22,777) SMG Studio
Codename: Terranova $23.99 23 69% 690 $17k (exactly $16,553) ACGames
Heroes of Mount Dragon $19.99 27 66% 810 $16k (exactly $16,192) RuniQ
Beat The Champions $19.99 26 73% 780 $16k (exactly $15,592) Purple Tree S R L, Whiteboard Games
CTHULOOT $14.99 32 81% 960 $14k (exactly $14,390) Pixelnest Studio, Headbang Club

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.