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Should I ship an Arcade Boxing game?
Boxing + Arcade
Of 37 developers who shipped an Arcade Boxing game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 43 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $150, ×0.2 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50. 43 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper, while revenue is down 95% on the market.
| Bottom 30% | $0 (exactly $0) |
|---|---|
| Median | $148 (exactly $148) |
| Top 25% | $4.2k (exactly $4,198) |
| Top 5% | $124k (exactly $124,159) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 37 |
| Released games | 120 |
| Announced | 43 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $6.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Boxing, Arcade; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Sports, Combat
- Price point
- $6.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
- Art
- 3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Colorful, Funny
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.
The top 10 games average 80% positive over 898 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 19 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 43 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Boxing with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Immersive SimStrong odds
- + SimulationFair
- + StrategyPoor odds
- + FightingPoor odds
- + 2D FighterPoor odds
- + Martial ArtsPoor odds
- + AdventurePoor odds
- + SportsPoor odds
- + ActionPoor odds
- + CombatPoor odds
- + PvPPoor odds
- + PhysicsPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Punch Club | older | $9.99 | 12,098 81% | 363k | $3.6M (exactly $3,625,771) | Lazy Bear Games |
| | Kao the Kangaroo | older | $29.99 | 871 74% | 26k | $784k (exactly $783,639) | Tate Multimedia |
| | All-In-One Sports VR | older | $19.99 | 700 84% | 21k | $420k (exactly $419,790) | Appnori Inc. |
| | Dragon Fist: VR Kung Fu | older | $19.99 | 305 95% | 9.2k | $183k (exactly $182,908) | Ben Olding Games |
| | Spirit X Strike | · EA | $12.99 | 406 82% | 12k | $158k (exactly $158,218) | MAICHA STUDIO |
| | Real Boxing™ | older | $4.99 | 908 68% | 27k | $136k (exactly $135,928) | Vivid Games S.A. |
| | Baki Hanma: Blood Arena | $29.99 | 138 76% | 4.1k | $124k (exactly $124,159) | Purple Tree S R L | |
| | Thunder Ray | older | $14.99 | 270 71% | 8.1k | $121k (exactly $121,419) | Purple Tree S R L |
| | Big Rumble Boxing: Creed Champions | older | $39.99 | 92 65% | 2.8k | $110k (exactly $110,372) | Survios |
| | Bloody Knuckles Street Boxing | · EA older | $14.99 | 210 52% | 6.3k | $94k (exactly $94,437) | Luvseatshawty |
| | Beat the Beats VR | $19.99 | 48 97% | 1.4k | $29k (exactly $28,786) | Parallel Circles | |
| | Leftovers KO! | $9.99 | 92 66% | 2.8k | $28k (exactly $27,572) | Mountain Man Animation | |
| | Backyard Boxing | $7.99 | 49 48% | 1.5k | $12k (exactly $11,745) | Crime House Games, TheShadeGameDev | |
| | Creepy Creepy Love | $4.99 | 62 93% | 1.9k | $9.3k (exactly $9,281) | BYYONI Entertainment | |
| | Punch to Glory | $6.99 | 42 92% | 1.3k | $8.8k (exactly $8,807) | Musa GUNGOR | |
| | The SeethingSwarm Collection | $9.99 | 25 92% | 750 | $7.5k (exactly $7,492) | Seethingswarm | |
| | Bare Knuckle Sandwich | $7.99 | 29 96% | 870 | $7.0k (exactly $6,951) | Raised By Screens | |
| | Knockout 2: Wrath of the Karen | · EA | $19.99 | 7 85% | 210 | $4.2k (exactly $4,198) | ExceptioNULL Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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