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Should I ship an Animal Physics game?
Physics + Animals
Of 25 developers who shipped an Animal Physics game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 86 more are announced, ×5.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×1.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $370k, ×603 the market median. Revenue is down 70% on the market; 86 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $239 (exactly $239) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.2k (exactly $1,199) |
| Top 25% | $16k (exactly $15,740) |
| Top 5% | $379k (exactly $378,521) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 25 |
| Released games | 31 |
| Announced | 86 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 115% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Physics; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, 3D Platformer, Adventure
- Price point
- $5.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
- Art
- 3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing, Third Person, Colorful
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.
The top 10 games average 93% positive over 3,835 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $240. 8 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 86 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.1 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Physics with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Roguelike DeckbuilderStrong odds
- + Dating SimFair
- + PinballFair
- + World War IIFair
- + Mini GolfFair
- + GolfFair
- + CollectathonFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + CatsFair
- + Mystery DungeonFair
- + BilliardsFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Omelet You Cook | $14.99 | 1,523 97% | 46k | $685k (exactly $684,893) | Dan Schumacher, Hjalte Tagmose | |
| | A Webbing Journey | · EA | $9.99 | 1,263 98% | 38k | $379k (exactly $378,521) | Fire Totem Games |
| | Beast Battle Simulator | older | $9.99 | 1,234 88% | 37k | $370k (exactly $369,830) | DOG HOGGLER |
| | MARSUPILAMI - HOOBADVENTURE | older | $19.99 | 430 94% | 13k | $258k (exactly $257,871) | Ocellus Studio |
| | Frog Sqwad 🐸 | $7.99 | 352 72% | 11k | $84k (exactly $84,374) | Panic Stations | |
| | King of Bones | $7.99 | 316 85% | 9.5k | $76k (exactly $75,745) | Gluten Free Games | |
| | Only Way is Down | $9.99 | 137 63% | 4.1k | $41k (exactly $41,059) | Jilted Generation Productions | |
| | Push Push | $4.99 | 111 97% | 3.3k | $17k (exactly $16,617) | 1ceAgain | |
| | TopplePOP: Bungee Blockbusters | · EA | $14.99 | 35 97% | 1.1k | $16k (exactly $15,740) | ArkimA |
| | Cat Chaos | $7.99 | 44 86% | 1.3k | $11k (exactly $10,547) | Chaosverse Studio | |
| | Rise & Pop! | $3.99 | 32 96% | 960 | $3.8k (exactly $3,830) | HyperstasisGaming | |
| | Hole Your Horses: Champion Edition | $4.99 | 22 100% | 660 | $3.3k (exactly $3,293) | Intrusive Thoughts Creative Collective |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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