Do I ship it?

GamesFarming SimFarming Sim + Animals

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Animal Farming Sim?

Farming Sim + Animals

Of 21 developers who shipped an Animal Farming Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 58 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.1k, ×4.4 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $290k, ×611 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 58 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.4 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 58 announced, ×2.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Farming Sim + Animals
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 21

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Farming Sim + Animals: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 21
Bottom 30% $300 (exactly $300)
Median $2.1k (exactly $2,096)
Top 25% $7.7k (exactly $7,670)
Top 5% $290k (exactly $290,056)
Developers, 2 yr 21
Released games 39
Announced 58
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 1900% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Farming Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Animals
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Farming Sim; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Automation, Building
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
7 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing, Cozy, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 1,625 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $2.1k, 1 in 4 over $7.6k, 1 in 20 over $290k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 58 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Farming Sim with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorFair19 devs · median $12k · 23 announced
  2. + DogsFair18 devs · median $4.1k · 20 announced
  3. + IncrementalFair140 devs · median $1.6k · 168 announced
  4. + IdlerFair208 devs · median $1.3k · 211 announced
  5. + TacticalFair12 devs · median $897 · 10 announced
  6. + Artificial IntelligenceFair17 devs · median $718 · 16 announced
  7. + God GameLong shot22 devs · median $359 · 24 announced
  8. + Visual NovelLong shot11 devs · median $239 · 13 announced
  9. + LGBTQ+Poor odds10 devs · median $146k · 16 announced
  10. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds11 devs · median $111k · 25 announced
  11. + JRPGPoor odds14 devs · median $89k · 20 announced
  12. + HorsesPoor odds14 devs · median $70k · 20 announced

All 102 pairs on the Farming Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Ranch Simulator: Build, Hunt, Farm older $24.99 40,862 79% 1.2M $31M (exactly $30,634,241) Toxic Dog
Cattails | Become a Cat! older $14.99 2,315 95% 69k $1.0M (exactly $1,041,056) Falcon Development
Cattails: Wildwood Story older $19.99 1,479 97% 44k $887k (exactly $886,956) Falcon Development
Spirit of the Island older $14.99 1,191 69% 36k $536k (exactly $535,593) 1M Bits Horde
The Ranchers · EA $24.99 547 57% 16k $410k (exactly $410,086) The Ranchers
Happy Sheepies older $19.99 561 85% 17k $336k (exactly $336,432) Berker Games
Farm to Table · EA $14.99 645 91% 19k $290k (exactly $290,056) indieGiant
Plantera 2: Golden Acorn older $4.99 1,191 93% 36k $178k (exactly $178,293) VaragtP
Kamaeru: A Frog Refuge older $19.99 230 86% 6.9k $138k (exactly $137,931) Humble Reeds
Descending The Woods · EA older $18.99 111 47% 3.3k $63k (exactly $63,237) AIONWARE LTD
Nimbit Frontier · EA $13.99 113 97% 3.4k $47k (exactly $47,426) Megasploot
Push Push $4.99 111 97% 3.3k $17k (exactly $16,617) 1ceAgain
Petunia's Purgatory $6.99 69 98% 2.1k $14k (exactly $14,469) Dead Possum Games
Cosmic Coop $7.99 32 78% 960 $7.7k (exactly $7,670) Omnivorian
Plump! Dumb Frog Pond $7.99 30 96% 900 $7.2k (exactly $7,191) FHNBHJ
Cozy Sanctuary $4.99 44 100% 1.3k $6.6k (exactly $6,587) OverPowered Team
Agraria $12.99 12 83% 360 $4.7k (exactly $4,676) Possibly Huge
Hamster Talk $4.99 22 81% 660 $3.3k (exactly $3,293) LINE Games Corporation

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.