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Should I ship an Alien Stealth game?
Stealth + Aliens
Of 30 developers who shipped an Alien Stealth game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 73 more are announced, ×4.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $2.4k, ×3.8 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $2.8M, ×4504 the market median. Revenue is up 275% on the market; 73 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $359 (exactly $359) |
|---|---|
| Median | $2.4k (exactly $2,397) |
| Top 25% | $42k (exactly $41,658) |
| Top 5% | $2.8M (exactly $2,828,269) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 30 |
| Released games | 120 |
| Announced | 73 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 275% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Stealth; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Survival Horror, Action, Action-Adventure
- Price point
- $7.99 typical · top 25% priced $39.99 or above
- Art
- 7 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, Atmospheric, Realistic
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 86% positive over 24,149 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $360. 7 in 10 of the 23 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 73 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.9 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Stealth with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + JRPGFair
- + World War IIPoor odds
- + LGBTQ+Poor odds
- + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds
- + WargamePoor odds
- + DinosaursPoor odds
- + Gun CustomizationPoor odds
- + Base BuildingPoor odds
- + Cold WarPoor odds
- + HistoricalPoor odds
- + MilitaryPoor odds
- + WarPoor odds
Comparable games
Alien: Isolation 2014 · $58M 
Prey 2017 · $34M 
Aliens: Dark Descent 2023 · $18M 
Crysis Remastered 2021 · $15M 
Crysis 2 - Maximum Edition 2011 · $8.4M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Alien: Isolation | older | $39.99 | 48,591 92% | 1.5M | $58M (exactly $58,294,623) | Creative Assembly, Feral Interactive (M… (Creative Assembly, Feral Interactive (Mac), Feral Interactive (Linux)) |
| | Prey | older | $29.99 | 37,759 90% | 1.1M | $34M (exactly $33,971,772) | Arkane Studios |
| | Aliens: Dark Descent | older | $39.99 | 15,310 87% | 459k | $18M (exactly $18,367,407) | Tindalos Interactive |
| | Crysis Remastered | older | $29.99 | 16,822 77% | 505k | $15M (exactly $15,134,753) | Crytek |
| | Crysis 2 - Maximum Edition | older | $29.99 | 9,352 86% | 281k | $8.4M (exactly $8,413,994) | Crytek Studios |
 | Crysis 2 Remastered | older | $29.99 | 9,034 89% | 271k | $8.1M (exactly $8,127,890) | Crytek, Saber Interactive |
 | Aliens vs. Predator™ | older | $14.99 | 16,268 91% | 488k | $7.3M (exactly $7,315,720) | Rebellion |
 | Crysis 3 Remastered | older | $29.99 | 7,731 88% | 232k | $7.0M (exactly $6,955,581) | Crytek, Saber Interactive |
 | ROUTINE | $24.99 | 7,322 91% | 220k | $5.5M (exactly $5,489,303) | Lunar Software | |
 | Tom Clancy’s Rainbow Six® Extraction | older | $39.99 | 2,865 66% | 86k | $3.4M (exactly $3,437,140) | Ubisoft Montreal |
 | Species: Unknown | · EA | $9.99 | 9,437 94% | 283k | $2.8M (exactly $2,828,269) | WanadevStudio |
 | A Quiet Place: The Road Ahead | $29.99 | 2,331 74% | 70k | $2.1M (exactly $2,097,201) | Stormind Games | |
 | Directive 8020 | $49.99 | 1,337 63% | 40k | $2.0M (exactly $2,005,099) | Supermassive Games | |
 | Alien: Rogue Incursion VR | $39.99 | 1,340 70% | 40k | $1.6M (exactly $1,607,598) | Survios | |
 | Alien: Rogue Incursion Evolved Edition | $29.99 | 899 72% | 27k | $809k (exactly $808,830) | Survios | |
 | Arken Age | $39.99 | 669 90% | 20k | $803k (exactly $802,599) | VitruviusVR | |
 | UNDERWARD | $9.99 | 593 73% | 18k | $178k (exactly $177,722) | INTENSE | |
 | Astrumis - Survive Together | $9.99 | 139 70% | 4.2k | $42k (exactly $41,658) | Tyci | |
 | Macabre | · EA | $9.99 | 82 53% | 2.5k | $25k (exactly $24,575) | Weforge Studio |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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