Do I ship it?

GamesCo-op CampaignCo-op Campaign + Aliens

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Alien Co-op Campaign game?

Co-op Campaign + Aliens

Only 12 developers shipped an Alien Co-op Campaign game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Abiotic Factor, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 19 more are announced, ×9.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 8 / 10 build.

Only 2 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $600 against a market of $1.5k. 19 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 19 announced, ×9.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Co-op Campaign + Aliens
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $10k → $300 → $81k
Outcomes for Co-op Campaign + Aliens: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $299 (exactly $299)
Median $598 (exactly $598)
Top 25% $42k (exactly $41,658)
Top 5% $44M (exactly $44,166,128)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 37
Announced 19
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 80% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Co-op Campaign
effort 8 / 10 · low · shared campaign state over the network
Aliens
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Co-op Campaign
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 95% positive over 42,399 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $600, 1 in 4 over $41k, 1 in 20 over $44M.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 8 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 19 games are announced against 2 developers who shipped in the last year, ×9.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Co-op Campaign with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Open WorldPoor odds17 devs · median $267k · 65 announced
  2. + ZombiesPoor odds12 devs · median $27k · 22 announced
  3. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds18 devs · median $27k · 27 announced
  4. + SurvivalPoor odds18 devs · median $16k · 44 announced
  5. + HorrorPoor odds31 devs · median $14k · 66 announced
  6. + Survival HorrorPoor odds19 devs · median $14k · 39 announced
  7. + ExplorationPoor odds54 devs · median $14k · 153 announced
  8. + Sci-fiPoor odds40 devs · median $13k · 78 announced
  9. + Puzzle PlatformerPoor odds26 devs · median $9.0k · 53 announced
  10. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds19 devs · median $6.6k · 29 announced
  11. + PlatformerPoor odds32 devs · median $6.5k · 90 announced
  12. + CraftingPoor odds17 devs · median $6.2k · 34 announced

All 81 pairs on the Co-op Campaign page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Abiotic Factor $34.99 42,075 95% 1.3M $44M (exactly $44,166,128) Deep Field Games
Aliens: Fireteam Elite older $29.99 21,668 80% 650k $19M (exactly $19,494,700) Cold Iron Studios
Red Solstice 2: Survivors older $14.99 2,585 70% 78k $1.2M (exactly $1,162,474) Ironward
Earthfall older $19.99 1,575 64% 47k $945k (exactly $944,527) Holospark
Chip ‘n Clawz vs. The Brainioids $29.99 90 83% 2.7k $81k (exactly $80,973) Snapshot Games Inc.
Astrumis - Survive Together $9.99 139 70% 4.2k $42k (exactly $41,658) Tyci
No Way Home $9.99 76 88% 2.3k $23k (exactly $22,777) SMG Studio
D-Corp older $19.99 36 77% 1.1k $22k (exactly $21,589) Frogsong Studios
Raiden IV x MIKADO remix older $29.99 19 63% 570 $17k (exactly $17,094) MOSS Co., Ltd.
BFF or Die older $7.99 43 65% 1.3k $10k (exactly $10,307) ASA Studio
The B.L.O.O.M Initiative $2.99 7 100% 210 $628 (exactly $628) Trema-Coding
Paddlenoid $3.99 5 100% 150 $598 (exactly $598) Deadbug Projects
SPASE DEFENSE $5.99 3 100% 90 $539 (exactly $539) Leo Torrijos
Exterminators of Saturn $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) Violence in Video Games
WARPED $4.99 2 100% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Starbound Studio
Out of Sight $5.99 1 100% 30 $180 (exactly $180) Mainframe Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.