Do I ship it?

GamesReal Time TacticsReal Time Tactics + Agriculture

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Agriculture Real Time Tactics?

Real Time Tactics + Agriculture

Only 12 developers shipped an Agriculture Real Time Tactics in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, 欺神弄鬼, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 11 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $330 in the last 2 years and $300 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 8 developers shipped in the last year and 11 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 11 announced, ×1.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Real Time Tactics + Agriculture
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $120 → $2.7k → $119 → $330 (still earning) → $120 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Real Time Tactics + Agriculture: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $120 (exactly $120)
Median $330 (exactly $330)
Top 25% $2.8k (exactly $2,844)
Top 5% $240k (exactly $240,359)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 33
Announced 11
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Real Time Tactics
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Agriculture
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Real Time Tactics, Agriculture
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 859 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $330, 1 in 4 over $2.8k, 1 in 20 over $240k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 7 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 11 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Real Time Tactics with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + DragonsStrong odds17 devs · median $6.6k · 19 announced
  2. + Outbreak SimFair12 devs · median $1.8k · 14 announced
  3. + HackingFair11 devs · median $987 · 11 announced
  4. + World War IIPoor odds24 devs · median $67k · 35 announced
  5. + Cold WarPoor odds9 devs · median $19k · 16 announced
  6. + HistoricalPoor odds88 devs · median $19k · 154 announced
  7. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds19 devs · median $16k · 31 announced
  8. + Real-TimePoor odds16 devs · median $16k · 26 announced
  9. + MechsPoor odds16 devs · median $13k · 32 announced
  10. + Vehicular CombatPoor odds20 devs · median $9.6k · 50 announced
  11. + God GamePoor odds19 devs · median $7.8k · 32 announced
  12. + Open WorldPoor odds29 devs · median $7.2k · 111 announced

All 176 pairs on the Real Time Tactics page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Thriving City: Song older $18.99 3,054 81% 92k $1.7M (exactly $1,739,864) White Star Studio
欺神弄鬼 · EA $9.99 802 91% 24k $240k (exactly $240,359) 猫台班子工作室 Cat Caboodle
Guardener older $4.99 145 83% 4.4k $22k (exactly $21,706) Sokpop Collective
Grandiose older $1.99 162 67% 4.9k $9.7k (exactly $9,671) Valentin Supiot
Legacy of Sin: Ill-Boding $12.99 23 69% 690 $9.0k (exactly $8,963) Absolute Power Game Studio
Combine 2 Pumpkins $4.99 19 100% 570 $2.8k (exactly $2,844) 2Z
GILTSTEADER - Tower Defense older $5.99 15 66% 450 $2.7k (exactly $2,696) Lessermore
VeilWood $9.99 8 87% 240 $2.4k (exactly $2,398) Chaos Cabin
Primasia (Chapter One) older $17.99 2 100% 60 $1.1k (exactly $1,079) Prime8 International Limited
Sandbox Skyline older $5.99 5 80% 150 $898 (exactly $898) Chute Apps
Rise of the Settlement · EA $9.99 2 100% 60 $599 (exactly $599) Luki
Doll Hero Thirty-Six $10.99 1 100% 30 $330 (exactly $330) 文山工作室
Oceanic Rails · EA $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) Extrinc Studios
Island Mojo Blocks $8.99 1 100% 30 $270 (exactly $270) Kyubit Developers
保卫粮食 Grain Defense $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) 放马过去
Grill Girl $1.50 1 0% 30 $45 (exactly $45) Frumpy Goldsmith

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.