Do I ship it?

GamesPvPPvP + Agriculture

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a PvP Agriculture game?

PvP + Agriculture

Only 9 developers shipped a PvP Agriculture game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Quinfall, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 15 more are announced, ×3.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 8 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $1.5k against a market of $1.5k. 15 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 24120% on the market, 15 announced, ×3.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
PvP + Agriculture
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.0k → $29k → $210 → $1.5k → $20k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for PvP + Agriculture: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $1.5k (exactly $1,498)
Top 25% $20k (exactly $20,242)
Top 5% $3.6M (exactly $3,618,278)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 34
Announced 15
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 24120% on the market, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 35%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

PvP
effort 8 / 10 · low · authoritative servers, latency compensation, cheating
Agriculture
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
PvP, Agriculture
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 59% positive over 17,545 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $1.5k, 1 in 4 over $20k, 1 in 20 over $3.6M.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 7 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 15 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

PvP with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + BaseballFair6 devs · median $7.6k · 9 announced
  2. + TransportationFair10 devs · median $5.7k · 11 announced
  3. + BasketballFair25 devs · median $2.6k · 28 announced
  4. + Football (American)Fair17 devs · median $1.8k · 12 announced
  5. + BikesFair10 devs · median $1.5k · 7 announced
  6. + GolfFair29 devs · median $1.4k · 34 announced
  7. + World War IFair12 devs · median $1.3k · 14 announced
  8. + IncrementalFair36 devs · median $1.2k · 48 announced
  9. + BilliardsFair18 devs · median $1.1k · 12 announced
  10. + TennisLong shot17 devs · median $899 · 15 announced
  11. + TypingLong shot28 devs · median $719 · 31 announced
  12. + SpellingLong shot14 devs · median $719 · 17 announced

All 247 pairs on the PvP page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Quinfall $9.99 12,073 50% 362k $3.6M (exactly $3,618,278) Vawraek Technology Inc.
CryoFall older $19.99 4,905 78% 147k $2.9M (exactly $2,941,528) AtomicTorch Studio
Cascadia $14.99 210 98% 6.3k $94k (exactly $94,437) Dire Wolf
Hole io older $4.99 217 59% 6.5k $32k (exactly $32,485) VOODOO
Manic Mechanics older $24.99 39 66% 1.2k $29k (exactly $29,238) 4J Studios
Bounty Pro Pulling · EA $24.99 27 96% 810 $20k (exactly $20,242) KODGAMES, LLC
Woodfel older $9.99 19 73% 570 $5.7k (exactly $5,694) L3fty Games
Watermelon Challenge older $2.99 33 93% 990 $3.0k (exactly $2,960) Floofy Feather Studios
Fruits Vs Veggies $6.99 13 100% 390 $2.7k (exactly $2,726) Ishbull Studios
-HOME- Survival · EA older $8.99 9 44% 270 $2.4k (exactly $2,427) Eigen-Kreationen Game Studios
Fortune & Famine $9.99 5 100% 150 $1.5k (exactly $1,498) Simeous Business, Mid Level Meeple
Bunny's Bodacious Buffet Bonanza $2.99 4 100% 120 $359 (exactly $359) Odd Bird Out Entertainment LLC
Real Or Fake $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Jsumin08
Sapling Wars $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Gary
Mavors $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Guns, Gods, and Steel

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.