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Should I ship an Agriculture Open World Survival Craft?
Open World Survival Craft + Agriculture
Only 14 developers shipped an Agriculture Open World Survival Craft in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Dinkum, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 13 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 9 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $58k, ×43 the market's $1.3k for a 9 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $22k; 1 in 20 cleared $14M, ×10970 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 13 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $22k (exactly $21,824) |
|---|---|
| Median | $58k (exactly $57,542) |
| Top 25% | $749k (exactly $748,760) |
| Top 5% | $15M (exactly $14,777,208) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 14 |
| Released games | 32 |
| Announced | 13 |
| Effort | 9 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $14.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 25% fewer developers than the period before.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Open World Survival Craft
- effort 9 / 10 · low · dedicated multiplayer servers over a huge content build
- Agriculture
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 9 / 10 · studio only
- Systems
- Open World Survival Craft, Agriculture
- Price point
- $14.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 89% positive over 34,875 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $22k. 5 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 13 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Open World Survival Craft with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + AutomationFair
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + Immersive SimPoor odds
- + PhysicsPoor odds
- + Colony SimPoor odds
- + MedievalPoor odds
- + ShooterPoor odds
- + PvPPoor odds
- + Sci-fiPoor odds
- + Character CustomizationPoor odds
- + RPGPoor odds
Comparable games
Forager 2019 · $21M 
Dinkum 2025 · $15M 
Eco 2018 · EA · $10M 
Lightyear Frontier 2024 · EA · $3.2M 
CryoFall 2021 · $2.9M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Forager | older | $19.99 | 35,385 90% | 1.1M | $21M (exactly $21,220,384) | HopFrog |
| | Dinkum | $19.99 | 24,641 92% | 739k | $15M (exactly $14,777,208) | James Bendon | |
| | Eco | · EA older | $29.99 | 11,375 80% | 341k | $10M (exactly $10,234,088) | Strange Loop Games |
| | Lightyear Frontier | · EA older | $24.99 | 4,257 83% | 128k | $3.2M (exactly $3,191,473) | FRAME BREAK |
| | CryoFall | older | $19.99 | 4,905 78% | 147k | $2.9M (exactly $2,941,528) | AtomicTorch Studio |
 | I Am Future: Cozy Apocalypse Survival | $19.99 | 4,011 83% | 120k | $2.4M (exactly $2,405,397) | Mandragora | |
 | Aloft | · EA | $24.99 | 3,057 82% | 92k | $2.3M (exactly $2,291,833) | Astrolabe Interactive Inc. |
 | Wildmender | older | $24.99 | 1,797 85% | 54k | $1.3M (exactly $1,347,211) | Muse Games |
 | Card Survival: Fantasy Forest | · EA | $21.99 | 1,135 76% | 34k | $749k (exactly $748,760) | WinterSpring Games |
 | Spirit of the Island | older | $14.99 | 1,191 69% | 36k | $536k (exactly $535,593) | 1M Bits Horde |
 | Blossom: The Seed of Life | $16.99 | 1,011 88% | 30k | $515k (exactly $515,307) | Pebbledust Games | |
 | Farm to Table | · EA | $14.99 | 645 91% | 19k | $290k (exactly $290,056) | indieGiant |
 | Colonize | $9.99 | 192 39% | 5.8k | $58k (exactly $57,542) | Rembrosoft | |
 | Crazy Islands | $13.99 | 73 68% | 2.2k | $31k (exactly $30,638) | Ge-Aivan | |
 | Russian Village Simulator on Mars | $15.99 | 58 77% | 1.7k | $28k (exactly $27,823) | VD Games, PropilGames | |
 | Gathera | · EA | $13.99 | 52 82% | 1.6k | $22k (exactly $21,824) | Catris Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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