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Should I ship an Adventure Offroad game?
Offroad + Adventure
Of 36 developers who shipped an Adventure Offroad game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 56 more are announced, ×3.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $900, ×0.6 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360. 56 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper, while revenue is up 370% on the market.
| Bottom 30% | $360 (exactly $360) |
|---|---|
| Median | $899 (exactly $899) |
| Top 25% | $5.0k (exactly $5,034) |
| Top 5% | $213k (exactly $212,776) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 36 |
| Released games | 93 |
| Announced | 56 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 370% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 5%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- Offroad, Adventure; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Exploration, Driving, Physics
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $16.99 or above
- Art
- 6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Atmospheric, First-Person
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $16.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 90% positive over 74,707 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $360. Nearly all of the 21 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 56 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Offroad with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + 3D PlatformerLong shot
- + Character CustomizationPoor odds
- + Immersive SimPoor odds
- + PvPPoor odds
- + PhysicsPoor odds
- + ExplorationPoor odds
- + SportsPoor odds
- + TransportationPoor odds
- + Automobile SimPoor odds
- + SimulationPoor odds
- + Open WorldPoor odds
- + NaturePoor odds
Comparable games
DiRT Rally 2.0 2019 · $23M 
MudRunner 2017 · $23M 
RV There Yet? 2025 · $17M 
DIRT 5 2020 · $6.4M 
Naval Action 2019 · $6.1M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | DiRT Rally 2.0 | older | $19.99 | 39,091 89% | 1.2M | $23M (exactly $23,442,873) | Codemasters |
| | MudRunner | older | $19.99 | 37,705 91% | 1.1M | $23M (exactly $22,611,688) | Saber Interactive |
| | RV There Yet? | $7.99 | 72,732 90% | 2.2M | $17M (exactly $17,433,860) | Nuggets Entertainment | |
| | DIRT 5 | older | $59.99 | 3,530 59% | 106k | $6.4M (exactly $6,352,941) | Codemasters |
| | Naval Action | older | $19.99 | 10,187 52% | 306k | $6.1M (exactly $6,109,144) | Bermuda Computer Club |
 | Dakar 18 | older | $29.99 | 828 69% | 25k | $745k (exactly $744,952) | Bigmoon Entertainment |
 | MXGP - The Official Motocross Videogame | older | $9.99 | 1,289 82% | 39k | $386k (exactly $386,313) | Milestone S.r.l. |
 | Arizona Derby | older | $18.99 | 601 77% | 18k | $342k (exactly $342,390) | Falcon Interactive |
 | Monster Jam Steel Titans 2 | older | $29.99 | 328 77% | 9.8k | $295k (exactly $295,102) | Rainbow Studios |
 | BRUTAL JOHN 2 | · EA | $12.99 | 546 94% | 16k | $213k (exactly $212,776) | OldSchool Laws Team |
 | Chained Wheels | $4.99 | 619 69% | 19k | $93k (exactly $92,664) | Karga Games | |
 | Truck Mechanic: Dangerous Paths | $19.99 | 150 60% | 4.5k | $90k (exactly $89,955) | Atomic Jelly | |
 | Bar After Bar | $6.99 | 331 87% | 9.9k | $69k (exactly $69,411) | OneMan Tim | |
 | Park Ranger Simulator | $14.99 | 82 17% | 2.5k | $37k (exactly $36,875) | Polygon Art | |
 | Dangerous Mountain Together | $4.99 | 164 73% | 4.9k | $25k (exactly $24,551) | Çağatay Demir, Doğukan Şahin | |
 | I Want to Believe | $16.99 | 47 80% | 1.4k | $24k (exactly $23,956) | Fang's Lab | |
 | WITHOUT A HITCH | $7.99 | 21 90% | 630 | $5.0k (exactly $5,034) | Codename Entertainment Inc. | |
 | Apocalypse Truck Simulator | $9.99 | 15 80% | 450 | $4.5k (exactly $4,496) | Festival of Delusion |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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