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Should I ship a Gun Customization Adventure game?
Gun Customization + Adventure
Of 95 developers who shipped a Gun Customization Adventure game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 223 more are announced, ×4.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×2.1 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $630k, ×1009 the market median. Revenue is down 75% on the market; 223 games are announced against 54 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $299 (exactly $299) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.3k (exactly $1,349) |
| Top 25% | $17k (exactly $17,216) |
| Top 5% | $633k (exactly $633,442) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 95 |
| Released games | 245 |
| Announced | 223 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 75% on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Gun Customization
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Adventure
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Gun Customization, Adventure; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Shooter, Exploration
- Price point
- $7.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 84% positive over 95,494 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $300. 8 in 10 of the 48 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 223 games are announced against 54 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.1 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Gun Customization with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Tower DefenseFair
- + DystopianPoor odds
- + Immersive SimPoor odds
- + BuildingPoor odds
- + Survival HorrorPoor odds
- + ModernPoor odds
- + MilitaryPoor odds
- + StealthPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + MechsPoor odds
- + Resource ManagementPoor odds
- + Base BuildingPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Far Cry® 6 | older | $59.99 | 33,280 71% | 998k | $60M (exactly $59,894,016) | Ubisoft Toronto, Ubisoft Montreal, Ubis… (Ubisoft Toronto, Ubisoft Montreal, Ubisoft Kyiv, Ubisoft Shanghai, Ubisoft Berlin) |
| | Escape From Duckov | $17.99 | 83,826 85% | 2.5M | $45M (exactly $45,240,892) | Team Soda | |
| | Sniper Elite 5 | older | $49.99 | 24,818 83% | 745k | $37M (exactly $37,219,555) | Rebellion |
| | Way of the Hunter | older | $29.99 | 8,528 81% | 256k | $7.7M (exactly $7,672,642) | Nine Rocks Games |
| | Into the Radius 2 | $39.99 | 5,253 79% | 158k | $6.3M (exactly $6,302,024) | CM IMMERSIVE | |
| | Tom Clancy's Ghost Recon: Future Soldier™ | older | $19.99 | 5,506 71% | 165k | $3.3M (exactly $3,301,948) | Ubisoft Paris, Red Storm Entertainment |
| | Pass the Fear | $18.99 | 2,985 79% | 90k | $1.7M (exactly $1,700,554) | PlayMud Studio | |
| | CONVRGENCE | · EA older | $24.99 | 1,562 88% | 47k | $1.2M (exactly $1,171,031) | Monkey-With-a-Bomb |
| | Hunting Simulator 2 | older | $39.99 | 904 70% | 27k | $1.1M (exactly $1,084,529) | Nacon Studio Ghent |
| | Revita | older | $16.99 | 1,734 83% | 52k | $884k (exactly $883,820) | BenStar |
| | Echoes of the Living | · EA | $24.99 | 1,005 83% | 30k | $753k (exactly $753,448) | MoonGlint Studio |
| | Chernobylite 2: Exclusion Zone | · EA | $39.99 | 528 62% | 16k | $633k (exactly $633,442) | The Farm 51 |
| | Roboquest VR | $29.99 | 395 87% | 12k | $355k (exactly $355,382) | Flat2VR Studios, RyseUp Studios | |
| | Z.O.N.A: Origin | $19.99 | 540 83% | 16k | $324k (exactly $323,838) | AGaming+ | |
| | CyberCorp | $14.99 | 351 75% | 11k | $158k (exactly $157,845) | Megame LLC | |
| | Time Treker | $6.99 | 399 65% | 12k | $84k (exactly $83,670) | Fuse Game | |
| | Lust 'n Dead 🔞 | $9.99 | 212 66% | 6.4k | $64k (exactly $63,536) | Octo Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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