Do I ship it?

GamesTactical RPGTactical RPG + Action Roguelike

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Action Roguelike Tactical RPG?

Tactical RPG + Action Roguelike

Of 34 developers who shipped an Action Roguelike Tactical RPG in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 62 more are announced, ×3.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $840, ×1.3 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $350k, ×570 the market median. Revenue is up 350% on the market; 62 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 350% on the market, 62 announced, ×3.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tactical RPG + Action Roguelike
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 34
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $238 → $4.3k → $1.2k → $809 → $269 → $2.1k (still earning) → $240 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Tactical RPG + Action Roguelike: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 34
Bottom 30% $240 (exactly $240)
Median $839 (exactly $839)
Top 25% $10k (exactly $10,190)
Top 5% $358k (exactly $358,021)
Developers, 2 yr 34
Released games 85
Announced 62
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 350% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tactical RPG
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Action Roguelike
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Tactical RPG, Action Roguelike; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Roguelite, Action RPG
Price point
$8.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 5,326 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $840, 1 in 4 over $10k, 1 in 20 over $350k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 8 in 10 of the 22 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 62 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tactical RPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Roguelike DeckbuilderFair24 devs · median $9.0k · 29 announced
  2. + Mystery DungeonFair30 devs · median $2.4k · 24 announced
  3. + Space SimFair9 devs · median $1.8k · 15 announced
  4. + Point & ClickFair21 devs · median $839 · 26 announced
  5. + 2D PlatformerFair58 devs · median $599 · 49 announced
  6. + Asynchronous MultiplayerPoor odds10 devs · median $63k · 16 announced
  7. + Colony SimPoor odds16 devs · median $41k · 29 announced
  8. + SandboxPoor odds42 devs · median $20k · 102 announced
  9. + Turn-BasedPoor odds61 devs · median $18k · 81 announced
  10. + RobotsPoor odds15 devs · median $17k · 27 announced
  11. + RomancePoor odds23 devs · median $10k · 38 announced
  12. + WarPoor odds80 devs · median $8.7k · 143 announced

All 145 pairs on the Tactical RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Aces & Adventures older $19.99 2,220 89% 67k $1.3M (exactly $1,331,334) Triple.B.Titles
ENDLESS Dungeon™ - Definitive Edition older $14.99 2,953 64% 89k $1.3M (exactly $1,327,964) AMPLITUDE Studios
Dwarven Realms $9.99 2,850 81% 86k $854k (exactly $854,145) Crater Studios
Netherworld Covenant $19.99 597 78% 18k $358k (exactly $358,021) MadGoat Game Studio
下一站江湖Ⅰ older $19.99 581 72% 17k $348k (exactly $348,426) 白玉京工作室
👑 Idle Calibur 👑(选王之剑) older $7.99 1,242 85% 37k $298k (exactly $297,707) 绝汪
Seer's Gambit $14.99 490 76% 15k $220k (exactly $220,353) Unleash The Giraffe
Has-Been Heroes older $19.99 263 78% 7.9k $158k (exactly $157,721) Frozenbyte
Bioweaver $6.99 668 77% 20k $140k (exactly $140,080) Emprom Game, Wild Kid Games
Golden Swirl $19.99 149 92% 4.5k $89k (exactly $89,355) Snako Production
Horny Housewives 2 $14.99 146 63% 4.4k $66k (exactly $65,656) Entropy Digital Entertainment
Shana - Priestess of Tona $9.99 190 74% 5.7k $57k (exactly $56,943) Lustration Team
Deadrock Redemption 2 $14.99 123 86% 3.7k $55k (exactly $55,313) Entropy Digital Entertainment
Six-Ear Macaque: Awakening $6.99 79 98% 2.4k $17k (exactly $16,566) 红景天娱乐
Soulbound Roguelike $9.99 34 82% 1.0k $10k (exactly $10,190) DuDu Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.