Do I ship it?

GamesStealthStealth + Action Roguelike

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Action Roguelike Stealth game?

Stealth + Action Roguelike

Of 43 developers who shipped an Action Roguelike Stealth game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 125 more are announced, ×4.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.3k, ×3.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $330k, ×526 the market median. Revenue is up 345% on the market; 125 games are announced against 26 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 345% on the market, 125 announced, ×4.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Stealth + Action Roguelike
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 43
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $24k → $1.1k → $906k → $2.7k → $2.3k → $2.4k → $7.6k (still earning) → $538 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Stealth + Action Roguelike: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 43
Bottom 30% $449 (exactly $449)
Median $2.3k (exactly $2,336)
Top 25% $23k (exactly $22,567)
Top 5% $330k (exactly $330,113)
Developers, 2 yr 43
Released games 114
Announced 125
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 345% on the market, supply 55% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Stealth
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Action Roguelike
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Stealth, Action Roguelike; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Co-op, Online Co-Op
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, Atmospheric, Funny
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 96% positive over 352,486 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $2.3k, 1 in 4 over $22k, 1 in 20 over $330k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 8 in 10 of the 19 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 125 games are announced against 26 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Stealth with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + JRPGFair7 devs · median $1.3k · 12 announced
  2. + World War IIPoor odds11 devs · median $43k · 14 announced
  3. + LGBTQ+Poor odds19 devs · median $30k · 30 announced
  4. + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds8 devs · median $27k · 31 announced
  5. + WargamePoor odds10 devs · median $21k · 39 announced
  6. + DinosaursPoor odds10 devs · median $17k · 23 announced
  7. + Gun CustomizationPoor odds20 devs · median $13k · 63 announced
  8. + Base BuildingPoor odds21 devs · median $13k · 57 announced
  9. + Cold WarPoor odds7 devs · median $10k · 31 announced
  10. + HistoricalPoor odds32 devs · median $9.6k · 76 announced
  11. + MilitaryPoor odds43 devs · median $8.5k · 122 announced
  12. + WarPoor odds30 devs · median $7.6k · 89 announced

All 159 pairs on the Stealth page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
R.E.P.O. · EA $9.99 341,004 96% 10M $102M (exactly $102,198,899) semiwork
Streets of Rogue older $19.99 17,215 96% 516k $10M (exactly $10,323,836) Matt Dabrowski
Crime Boss: Rockay City older $19.99 8,553 68% 257k $5.1M (exactly $5,129,234) INGAME STUDIOS
Void Bastards older $29.99 3,888 86% 117k $3.5M (exactly $3,498,034) Blue Manchu
PANICORE older $9.99 10,748 78% 322k $3.2M (exactly $3,221,176) ZTEK Studio
Heat Signature older $14.99 6,849 94% 205k $3.1M (exactly $3,079,995) Suspicious Developments
YAPYAP $9.99 8,385 83% 252k $2.5M (exactly $2,512,984) Maison Bap
Monstrum older $17.99 3,155 91% 95k $1.7M (exactly $1,702,753) Team Junkfish
Withering Rooms older $24.99 1,209 96% 36k $906k (exactly $906,387) Moonless Formless
Eldritch older $14.99 1,698 88% 51k $764k (exactly $763,591) Minor Key Games
ORDER 13 $8.99 1,224 87% 37k $330k (exactly $330,113) Cybernetic Walrus
CRYO · EA $14.99 435 86% 13k $196k (exactly $195,620) Valko Game Studios
It Has My Face $9.99 608 88% 18k $182k (exactly $182,218) NightByte Games
Dig, Dig, Die $7.99 321 64% 9.6k $77k (exactly $76,944) Alice Games
INTO EVIL · EA $14.99 106 92% 3.2k $48k (exactly $47,668) Mind's Eye Games
Odd Remedy · EA $9.99 159 87% 4.8k $48k (exactly $47,652) Oddscure
Deadly Delivery $9.99 152 89% 4.6k $46k (exactly $45,554) Flat Head Studio
Lia: Hacking Destiny $14.99 92 96% 2.8k $41k (exactly $41,372) Orube Game Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.