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Should I ship an Action Offroad game?
Offroad + Action
Of 40 developers who shipped an Action Offroad game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 61 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $900, ×0.6 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $90. 61 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper, while revenue is flat on the market.
| Bottom 30% | $90 (exactly $90) |
|---|---|
| Median | $899 (exactly $899) |
| Top 25% | $22k (exactly $22,189) |
| Top 5% | $1.3M (exactly $1,266,355) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 40 |
| Released games | 127 |
| Announced | 61 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- Offroad, Action; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Driving, Exploration, Adventure
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Atmospheric
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 90% positive over 77,565 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $90. 8 in 10 of the 24 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 61 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Offroad with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + 3D PlatformerLong shot
- + Character CustomizationPoor odds
- + Immersive SimPoor odds
- + PvPPoor odds
- + PhysicsPoor odds
- + ExplorationPoor odds
- + SportsPoor odds
- + TransportationPoor odds
- + Automobile SimPoor odds
- + SimulationPoor odds
- + Open WorldPoor odds
- + NaturePoor odds
Comparable games
Need for Speed™ Payback 2020 · $25M 
DiRT Rally 2.0 2019 · $23M 
RV There Yet? 2025 · $17M 
Gunner, HEAT, PC! 2022 · EA · $6.8M 
DIRT 5 2020 · $6.4M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Need for Speed™ Payback | older | $29.99 | 27,424 85% | 823k | $25M (exactly $24,673,373) | Ghost Games |
| | DiRT Rally 2.0 | older | $19.99 | 39,091 89% | 1.2M | $23M (exactly $23,442,873) | Codemasters |
| | RV There Yet? | $7.99 | 72,732 90% | 2.2M | $17M (exactly $17,433,860) | Nuggets Entertainment | |
| | Gunner, HEAT, PC! | · EA older | $29.99 | 7,603 91% | 228k | $6.8M (exactly $6,840,419) | Radian Simulations LLC |
| | DIRT 5 | older | $59.99 | 3,530 59% | 106k | $6.4M (exactly $6,352,941) | Codemasters |
 | art of rally | older | $24.99 | 5,580 92% | 167k | $4.2M (exactly $4,183,326) | Funselektor Labs Inc. |
 | MX vs. ATV Reflex | older | $19.99 | 2,904 88% | 87k | $1.7M (exactly $1,741,529) | Rainbow Studios, THQ Nordic |
 | Lonely Mountains: Downhill | older | $19.99 | 2,741 89% | 82k | $1.6M (exactly $1,643,778) | Megagon Industries |
 | FlatOut | older | $7.49 | 5,870 91% | 176k | $1.3M (exactly $1,318,989) | Bugbear Entertainment, ZOOM Platform Me… (Bugbear Entertainment, ZOOM Platform Media, Jordan Freeman Group) |
 | FUMES | · EA | $14.99 | 2,816 95% | 84k | $1.3M (exactly $1,266,355) | FUMES team |
 | #DRIVE Rally | $19.99 | 743 79% | 22k | $446k (exactly $445,577) | Pixel Perfect Dude | |
 | BRUTAL JOHN 2 | · EA | $12.99 | 546 94% | 16k | $213k (exactly $212,776) | OldSchool Laws Team |
 | ReCharge RC: High Voltage | · EA | $13.99 | 393 95% | 12k | $165k (exactly $164,942) | Hondune Games |
 | Truck Mechanic: Dangerous Paths | $19.99 | 150 60% | 4.5k | $90k (exactly $89,955) | Atomic Jelly | |
 | Park Ranger Simulator | $14.99 | 82 17% | 2.5k | $37k (exactly $36,875) | Polygon Art | |
 | I Want to Believe | $16.99 | 47 80% | 1.4k | $24k (exactly $23,956) | Fang's Lab | |
 | Hot Wheels Monster Trucks: Stunt Mayhem™ | $39.99 | 19 63% | 570 | $23k (exactly $22,794) | 3DClouds | |
 | N3Rally | · EA | $19.99 | 37 89% | 1.1k | $22k (exactly $22,189) | nae3apps |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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