Do I ship it?

Games › Football (Soccer) › Football (Soccer) + Action

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Action Football (Soccer) game?

Football (Soccer) + Action

Of 52 developers who shipped an Action Football (Soccer) game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 72 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $450, ×0.3 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150. 72 games are announced against 34 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper, while revenue is down 40% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 40% on the market, 72 announced, ×2.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Football (Soccer) + Action
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 52
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $600 → $5.3k → $1.2k → $449 → $1.3k → $629 → $180 (still earning) → $119 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Football (Soccer) + Action: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 52
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $449 (exactly $449)
Top 25% $3.6k (exactly $3,565)
Top 5% $3.5M (exactly $3,479,178)
Developers, 2 yr 52
Released games 171
Announced 72
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 40% on the market, supply 70% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 21%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Football (Soccer)
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Action
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Football (Soccer), Action; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Sports, PvP, Character Customization
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $34.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Third Person, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $34.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 76% positive over 75,141 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $450, 1 in 4 over $3.5k, 1 in 20 over $3.4M.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 8 in 10 of the 25 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 72 games are announced against 34 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Football (Soccer) with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Life SimFair10 devs · median $10k · 16 announced
  2. + EconomyFair21 devs · median $6.8k · 29 announced
  3. + Local MultiplayerLong shot32 devs · median $899 · 40 announced
  4. + Local Co-OpLong shot17 devs · median $839 · 22 announced
  5. + Football (American)Long shot15 devs · median $719 · 9 announced
  6. + ArcadeLong shot64 devs · median $539 · 84 announced
  7. + 4 Player LocalPoor odds14 devs · median $15k · 27 announced
  8. + Character CustomizationPoor odds32 devs · median $3.8k · 54 announced
  9. + Turn-Based TacticsPoor odds14 devs · median $3.6k · 30 announced
  10. + AdventurePoor odds15 devs · median $3.3k · 13 announced
  11. + Resource ManagementPoor odds15 devs · median $3.1k · 30 announced
  12. + ManagementPoor odds47 devs · median $2.7k · 83 announced

All 32 pairs on the Football (Soccer) page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

REMATCH 2025 · $36M INAZUMA ELEVEN: Victory Road 2025 · $23M Captain Tsubasa: Rise of New Champions 2020 · $9.1M Pro Soccer Online 2025 · $3.5M Bang-On Balls: Chronicles 2023 · $3.2M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
REMATCH $29.99 39,905 70% 1.2M $36M (exactly $35,902,528) Sloclap
INAZUMA ELEVEN: Victory Road $69.99 11,180 88% 335k $23M (exactly $23,474,646) LEVEL5 Inc.
Captain Tsubasa: Rise of New Champions older $59.99 5,072 73% 152k $9.1M (exactly $9,128,078) TAMSOFT CORPORATION
Pro Soccer Online $4.99 23,241 82% 697k $3.5M (exactly $3,479,178) Skywall Studios LLC
Bang-On Balls: Chronicles older $24.99 4,334 96% 130k $3.2M (exactly $3,249,200) Exit Plan Games
CAPTAIN TSUBASA 2: WORLD FIGHTERS $59.99 330 50% 9.9k $594k (exactly $593,901) TAMSOFT CORPORATION
Pixel Cup Soccer - Ultimate Edition older $16.99 876 83% 26k $446k (exactly $446,497) BATOVI Games
Kopanito All-Stars Soccer older $5.99 2,434 84% 73k $437k (exactly $437,390) Merixgames
FootLOL: Epic Soccer League older $9.99 680 82% 20k $204k (exactly $203,796) HeroCraft
Motion Soccer PRO $19.99 223 79% 6.7k $134k (exactly $133,733) Ivanovich Games
Gaelic Football Laochra $34.99 52 78% 1.6k $55k (exactly $54,584) Buck Eejit Games
Running Fable Petite Party $13.99 51 100% 1.5k $21k (exactly $21,405) Seashell Studio
Ascending Inferno $10.99 55 98% 1.7k $18k (exactly $18,134) Oppolyon Studios
Drunken FC · EA $6.99 71 80% 2.1k $15k (exactly $14,889) Sloppy Games, Red Herring Labs
Wild Rumble $14.99 33 87% 990 $15k (exactly $14,840) Mean Mink

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.