Should I ship a PvP 6DOF game?
PvP + 6DOF
Of 24 developers who shipped a PvP 6DOF game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 45 more are announced, ×3.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $900, ×0.6 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150. 45 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.5 per shipper, while revenue is up 322760% on the market.
| Bottom 30% | $150 (exactly $150) |
|---|---|
| Median | $899 (exactly $899) |
| Top 25% | $6.0k (exactly $5,992) |
| Top 5% | $325k (exactly $324,620) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 24 |
| Released games | 98 |
| Announced | 45 |
| Effort | 8 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 20% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 8 / 10 · online systems, open world
- Systems
- PvP, 6DOF; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Co-op, Immersive Sim
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 7 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, Realistic, VR
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 82% positive over 4,865 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $150. 8 in 10 of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 45 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.5 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
PvP with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + BaseballFair
- + TransportationFair
- + BasketballFair
- + Football (American)Fair
- + BikesFair
- + GolfFair
- + World War IFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + BilliardsFair
- + TennisLong shot
- + TypingLong shot
- + SpellingLong shot
Comparable games
Gorilla Tag 2023 · $32M 
CarX Street 2024 · $11M 
Raw Data 2017 · $2.4M 
Walkabout Mini Golf VR 2021 · $2.3M 
Angels Fall First 2026 · $2.1M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Gorilla Tag | older | $19.99 | 52,637 93% | 1.6M | $32M (exactly $31,566,409) | Another Axiom Inc. |
| | CarX Street | older | $19.99 | 17,600 72% | 528k | $11M (exactly $10,554,720) | CarX Technologies, LLC |
| | Raw Data | older | $39.99 | 2,036 81% | 61k | $2.4M (exactly $2,442,589) | Survios |
| | Walkabout Mini Golf VR | older | $24.99 | 3,094 97% | 93k | $2.3M (exactly $2,319,572) | Mighty Coconut |
| | Angels Fall First | $17.99 | 3,835 81% | 115k | $2.1M (exactly $2,069,749) | Strangely Interactive Ltd | |
 | Aquanox Deep Descent | older | $29.99 | 463 48% | 14k | $417k (exactly $416,561) | Digital Arrow |
 | OverDrift Festival | older | $9.99 | 1,103 79% | 33k | $331k (exactly $330,569) | OverDrift Crew |
 | Zero Caliber 2 Remastered | $24.99 | 433 79% | 13k | $325k (exactly $324,620) | XREAL Games | |
 | Firehawk: FPV Drone Shooter | $19.99 | 494 91% | 15k | $296k (exactly $296,252) | TruePlayers | |
 | Broken Edge | older | $14.99 | 593 86% | 18k | $267k (exactly $266,672) | TREBUCHET |
 | Dance Eden | $19.99 | 42 85% | 1.3k | $25k (exactly $25,187) | DigiEden | |
 | Glassbreakers: Champions of Moss | $19.99 | 22 63% | 660 | $13k (exactly $13,193) | Polyarc | |
 | Karting4Fun | $7.99 | 25 76% | 750 | $6.0k (exactly $5,992) | LukasH | |
 | Vertigo Rush | · EA | $14.99 | 5 100% | 150 | $2.2k (exactly $2,248) | Sumalab |
 | Only Straight and Up! | $19.99 | 3 33% | 90 | $1.8k (exactly $1,799) | AF Games | |
 | Arvoch Alliance SE | $14.99 | 4 75% | 120 | $1.8k (exactly $1,799) | StarWraith 3D Games LLC | |
 | Snooker Billiard | $24.99 | 2 50% | 60 | $1.5k (exactly $1,499) | DotStudio |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.