Do I ship it?

GamesStealthStealth + 4 Player Local

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a 4 Player Local Stealth game?

Stealth + 4 Player Local

Only 10 developers shipped a 4 Player Local Stealth game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, INTO EVIL, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 12 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, level with the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $47k, ×76 the market median. Revenue is down 45% on the market; 12 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 45% on the market, 12 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Stealth + 4 Player Local
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Stealth + 4 Player Local: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $299 (exactly $299)
Median $599 (exactly $599)
Top 25% $2.7k (exactly $2,695)
Top 5% $48k (exactly $47,668)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 41
Announced 12
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 45% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Stealth
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
4 Player Local
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Stealth, 4 Player Local
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 84% positive over 198 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $600, 1 in 4 over $2.6k, 1 in 20 over $47k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. All of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 12 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Stealth with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + JRPGFair7 devs · median $1.3k · 12 announced
  2. + World War IIPoor odds11 devs · median $43k · 14 announced
  3. + LGBTQ+Poor odds19 devs · median $30k · 30 announced
  4. + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds8 devs · median $27k · 31 announced
  5. + WargamePoor odds10 devs · median $21k · 39 announced
  6. + DinosaursPoor odds10 devs · median $17k · 23 announced
  7. + Gun CustomizationPoor odds20 devs · median $13k · 63 announced
  8. + Base BuildingPoor odds21 devs · median $13k · 57 announced
  9. + Cold WarPoor odds7 devs · median $10k · 31 announced
  10. + HistoricalPoor odds32 devs · median $9.6k · 76 announced
  11. + MilitaryPoor odds43 devs · median $8.5k · 122 announced
  12. + WarPoor odds30 devs · median $7.6k · 89 announced

All 159 pairs on the Stealth page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Unspottable older $9.99 694 89% 21k $208k (exactly $207,992) GrosChevaux
Takelings House Party · EA older $19.99 305 79% 9.2k $183k (exactly $182,908) DimnHouse
Hidden in Plain Sight older $5.99 922 99% 28k $166k (exactly $165,683) Adam Spragg
Invisigun Reloaded older $4.99 407 87% 12k $61k (exactly $60,928) Sombr Studio
INTO EVIL · EA $14.99 106 92% 3.2k $48k (exactly $47,668) Mind's Eye Games
Buissons older $8.99 114 96% 3.4k $31k (exactly $30,746) Tambouille, Géraud Zucchini
Thief Town older $7.99 103 78% 3.1k $25k (exactly $24,689) Rude Ghost
Definitely Sneaky But Not Sneaky older $4.99 72 94% 2.2k $11k (exactly $10,778) boxedworks
Ambush older $14.99 23 95% 690 $10k (exactly $10,343) Thierry Ferreira
Horror Royale $5.99 56 66% 1.7k $10k (exactly $10,063) Ben Wade
Toy Scrappers $4.99 18 77% 540 $2.7k (exactly $2,695) LoudScream
Stealth Syndicate $3.99 8 100% 240 $958 (exactly $958) Vincent Lopes-Vicente
Sneaky All-Nighter $4.99 4 100% 120 $599 (exactly $599) SAT-BOX
Doppel Hunter $4.99 2 100% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Egg Salad Studios
Sneaky Bimbuls $4.99 2 100% 60 $299 (exactly $299) JACKALWARE
666 Malevolence Lane $6.66 1 100% 30 $200 (exactly $200) Bearly_A_Studio
Sneaky All-Nighter 2 $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) SAT-BOX
Beware The Ghost $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Goblinagerie

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.