Do I ship it?

Games › Stealth › Stealth + 3D Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a 3D Platformer Stealth game?

Stealth + 3D Platformer

Of 90 developers who shipped a 3D Platformer Stealth game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 129 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360, ×0.6 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120. 129 games are announced against 48 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper, while revenue is up 10% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 10% on the market, 129 announced, ×2.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Stealth + 3D Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 90
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.6k → $1.2k → $6.0k → $1.5k → $599 → $359 → $1.0k (still earning) → $30 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Stealth + 3D Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 90
Bottom 30% $120 (exactly $120)
Median $359 (exactly $359)
Top 25% $2.9k (exactly $2,934)
Top 5% $240k (exactly $240,480)
Developers, 2 yr 90
Released games 253
Announced 129
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 10% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Stealth
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Stealth, 3D Platformer; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Action-Adventure
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Atmospheric, Dark
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 19,469 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $360, 1 in 4 over $2.9k, 1 in 20 over $240k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 52 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 129 games are announced against 48 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Stealth with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + JRPGFair7 devs · median $1.3k · 12 announced
  2. + World War IIPoor odds11 devs · median $43k · 14 announced
  3. + LGBTQ+Poor odds19 devs · median $30k · 30 announced
  4. + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds8 devs · median $27k · 31 announced
  5. + WargamePoor odds10 devs · median $21k · 39 announced
  6. + DinosaursPoor odds10 devs · median $17k · 23 announced
  7. + Gun CustomizationPoor odds20 devs · median $13k · 63 announced
  8. + Base BuildingPoor odds21 devs · median $13k · 57 announced
  9. + Cold WarPoor odds7 devs · median $10k · 31 announced
  10. + HistoricalPoor odds32 devs · median $9.6k · 76 announced
  11. + MilitaryPoor odds43 devs · median $8.5k · 122 announced
  12. + WarPoor odds30 devs · median $7.6k · 89 announced

All 159 pairs on the Stealth page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Indiana Jones and the Great Circle 2024 · $27M Hello Neighbor 2017 · $24M The Lord of the Rings: Gollum™ 2023 · $1.3M The Break-In 2025 · $1.2M Mini Ninjas 2009 · $1.1M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Indiana Jones and the Great Circle $69.99 13,058 89% 392k $27M (exactly $27,417,883) MachineGames
Hello Neighbor older $29.99 26,329 87% 790k $24M (exactly $23,688,201) Dynamic Pixels
The Lord of the Rings: Gollum™ older $49.99 839 41% 25k $1.3M (exactly $1,258,248) Daedalic Entertainment
The Break-In $19.99 2,040 87% 61k $1.2M (exactly $1,223,388) jorgen games Ltd, Oliver Josh
Mini Ninjas older $9.99 3,682 90% 110k $1.1M (exactly $1,103,495) IO Interactive
Hello Neighbor: Hide and Seek older $29.99 1,217 87% 37k $1.1M (exactly $1,094,935) Dynamic Pixels
近畿霊務局 - Kinki Spiritual Affairs Bureau $9.99 2,780 92% 83k $833k (exactly $833,166) Noto Muteki
Prince of Persia: The Two Thrones™ older $9.99 2,683 80% 80k $804k (exactly $804,095) Ubisoft Montreal
Kristala $39.99 485 71% 15k $582k (exactly $581,854) Astral Clocktower Studios
Tchia older $29.99 571 89% 17k $514k (exactly $513,729) Awaceb
Zefyr: A Thief's Melody $19.99 401 96% 12k $240k (exactly $240,480) Oneiric Worlds
Little Nightmares VR: Altered Echoes $29.99 169 79% 5.1k $152k (exactly $152,049) ICONIK
Sex Trainer's Diary: Hidden Kink $19.99 184 70% 5.5k $110k (exactly $110,345) 老二打鐵舖, 072 Localize, NOVA CONCEPT
Ayasa: Shadows of Silence $24.99 110 74% 3.3k $82k (exactly $82,467) Aya Games
Redemption of Liuyin $18.99 137 83% 4.1k $78k (exactly $78,049) kingnagame
NOROI KAGO: the Grudged Domain $9.99 105 79% 3.2k $31k (exactly $31,468) Toydium

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.