Do I ship it?

GamesReal Time TacticsReal Time Tactics + 3D Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a 3D Platformer Real Time Tactics?

Real Time Tactics + 3D Platformer

Of 49 developers who shipped a 3D Platformer Real Time Tactics in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 55 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $150 in the last 2 years and $120 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 25 developers shipped in the last year and 55 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 55 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Real Time Tactics + 3D Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 49
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $30 → $360 → $356 → $119 → $299 → $119 → $210 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Real Time Tactics + 3D Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 49
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $150 (exactly $150)
Top 25% $564 (exactly $564)
Top 5% $25k (exactly $24,746)
Developers, 2 yr 49
Released games 144
Announced 55
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Real Time Tactics
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Real Time Tactics, 3D Platformer; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Action, Action-Adventure
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $11.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Cute, Third Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 92% positive over 568 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $150, 1 in 4 over $560, 1 in 20 over $24k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 29 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 55 games are announced against 25 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Real Time Tactics with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + DragonsStrong odds17 devs · median $6.6k · 19 announced
  2. + Outbreak SimFair12 devs · median $1.8k · 14 announced
  3. + HackingFair11 devs · median $987 · 11 announced
  4. + World War IIPoor odds24 devs · median $67k · 35 announced
  5. + Cold WarPoor odds9 devs · median $19k · 16 announced
  6. + HistoricalPoor odds88 devs · median $19k · 154 announced
  7. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds19 devs · median $16k · 31 announced
  8. + Real-TimePoor odds16 devs · median $16k · 26 announced
  9. + MechsPoor odds16 devs · median $13k · 32 announced
  10. + Vehicular CombatPoor odds20 devs · median $9.6k · 50 announced
  11. + God GamePoor odds19 devs · median $7.8k · 32 announced
  12. + Open WorldPoor odds29 devs · median $7.2k · 111 announced

All 176 pairs on the Real Time Tactics page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
BURGGEIST $12.00 260 97% 7.8k $94k (exactly $93,600) GHRIAN STUDIO
Fritz 19 SE older $69.99 28 71% 840 $59k (exactly $58,792) ChessBase GmbH
NAMAKORIUM (ナマコリウム) $11.99 148 93% 4.4k $53k (exactly $53,236) Polyscape Inc.
OTTTD older $7.99 190 78% 5.7k $46k (exactly $45,543) SMG Studio
琉隐 older $8.99 118 54% 3.5k $32k (exactly $31,825) kingna studio
The Age of Navigation older $5.99 164 57% 4.9k $29k (exactly $29,471) Upstream Games
Fritz Chess 20 Steam Edition $54.99 15 46% 450 $25k (exactly $24,746) ChessBase GmbH
Spaceship Driver License older $49.99 11 100% 330 $16k (exactly $16,497) Gamesforgames
Desert Special Forces older $19.99 20 65% 600 $12k (exactly $11,994) Gamesforgames
Planet TD older $2.99 124 73% 3.7k $11k (exactly $11,123) MD Games
Pocket and Zooom $15.99 16 75% 480 $7.7k (exactly $7,675) TechnoBrain
Soul•Apocalypto $11.99 20 80% 600 $7.2k (exactly $7,194) 卜乙冈(Ploygon)
Just Skill Shooter 4 $9.99 17 76% 510 $5.1k (exactly $5,095) Gamesforgames
Carnival Heroes - Super party minigames $3.99 39 97% 1.2k $4.7k (exactly $4,668) LAN - GAMES LTD
Only Down: Gravitation Up $0.99 33 96% 990 $980 (exactly $980) Gamesforfarm, Piece Of Voxel
Food Store Simulator $4.99 6 50% 180 $898 (exactly $898) mobaroid
Battle Balls · EA $1.99 14 100% 420 $836 (exactly $836) Fonderland Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.