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Should I ship a PvP 3D Platformer?
PvP + 3D Platformer
Of 188 developers who shipped a PvP 3D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 366 more are announced, ×3.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 8 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $270 in the last 2 years and $360 over 4, against a market of $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build. 105 developers shipped in the last year and 366 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $0 (exactly $0) |
|---|---|
| Median | $269 (exactly $269) |
| Top 25% | $2.7k (exactly $2,695) |
| Top 5% | $91k (exactly $91,289) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 188 |
| Released games | 655 |
| Announced | 366 |
| Effort | 8 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 20% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 32%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- PvP
- effort 8 / 10 · low · authoritative servers, latency compensation, cheating
- 3D Platformer
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 8 / 10 · online systems, open world
- Systems
- PvP, 3D Platformer; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Character Customization, Online Co-Op
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Funny, Colorful
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 87% positive over 34,923 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 143 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 366 games are announced against 105 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.5 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
PvP with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + BaseballFair
- + TransportationFair
- + BasketballFair
- + Football (American)Fair
- + BikesFair
- + GolfFair
- + World War IFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + BilliardsFair
- + TennisLong shot
- + TypingLong shot
- + SpellingLong shot
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Gorilla Tag | older | $19.99 | 52,637 93% | 1.6M | $32M (exactly $31,566,409) | Another Axiom Inc. |
| | Cultivation Tales | older | $19.99 | 12,560 38% | 377k | $7.5M (exactly $7,532,232) | Ac Games |
| | ATLYSS | · EA | $9.99 | 19,244 96% | 577k | $5.8M (exactly $5,767,427) | Kiseff |
| | Jujutsu Kaisen Cursed Clash | older | $59.99 | 3,051 60% | 92k | $5.5M (exactly $5,490,885) | Byking Inc. |
| | Hot Lava | older | $19.99 | 5,335 92% | 160k | $3.2M (exactly $3,199,399) | Klei Entertainment |
| | ScooterFlow | $19.99 | 3,975 95% | 119k | $2.4M (exactly $2,383,808) | UncannyKiwi Limited | |
| | FATAL FURY: City of the Wolves | $19.99 | 3,135 82% | 94k | $1.9M (exactly $1,880,059) | SNK CORPORATION | |
| | s&box | $9.99 | 5,118 46% | 154k | $1.5M (exactly $1,533,865) | Facepunch Studios | |
| | Fight Angel Special Edition | older | $19.99 | 1,776 75% | 53k | $1.1M (exactly $1,065,067) | Red Fox |
| | Just Go | older | $9.99 | 3,227 92% | 97k | $967k (exactly $967,132) | Studio Amateur |
| | Last Train Outta' Wormtown | $11.99 | 1,453 96% | 44k | $523k (exactly $522,644) | Get(Color) Games | |
| | Animal Company | · EA | $19.99 | 749 86% | 22k | $449k (exactly $449,175) | Wooster Games |
| | HOTEL BARCELONA | $29.99 | 269 71% | 8.1k | $242k (exactly $242,019) | White Owls Inc. | |
| | Feather Party | $8.99 | 548 87% | 16k | $148k (exactly $147,796) | threeW | |
| | Rocket Boots Mania | $14.99 | 229 99% | 6.9k | $103k (exactly $102,981) | Luma Play | |
| | 我的钓鱼世界 | · EA | $14.99 | 203 60% | 6.1k | $91k (exactly $91,289) | 华幸 |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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