Do I ship it?

GamesGun CustomizationGun Customization + 3D Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Gun Customization 3D Platformer?

Gun Customization + 3D Platformer

Only 9 developers shipped a Gun Customization 3D Platformer in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, ALARIC, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×1.4 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $89; 1 in 20 cleared $6.2k, ×10 the market median. Revenue is up 95% on the market; 20 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 95% on the market, 20 announced, ×3.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Gun Customization + 3D Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $898 → $898 → $1.6k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Gun Customization + 3D Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $89 (exactly $89)
Median $898 (exactly $898)
Top 25% $1.6k (exactly $1,647)
Top 5% $6.3k (exactly $6,296)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 25
Announced 20
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 95% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Gun Customization
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Gun Customization, 3D Platformer
Price point
$3.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 79% positive over 1,127 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $89, median $900, 1 in 4 over $1.6k, 1 in 20 over $6.2k.

3 in 10 developers made under $89. 20 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Gun Customization with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Tower DefenseFair26 devs · median $958 · 32 announced
  2. + DystopianPoor odds16 devs · median $51k · 58 announced
  3. + Immersive SimPoor odds12 devs · median $25k · 44 announced
  4. + BuildingPoor odds13 devs · median $16k · 39 announced
  5. + Survival HorrorPoor odds26 devs · median $14k · 55 announced
  6. + ModernPoor odds18 devs · median $14k · 38 announced
  7. + MilitaryPoor odds50 devs · median $13k · 126 announced
  8. + StealthPoor odds20 devs · median $13k · 63 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds31 devs · median $11k · 92 announced
  10. + MechsPoor odds12 devs · median $11k · 32 announced
  11. + Resource ManagementPoor odds28 devs · median $11k · 71 announced
  12. + Base BuildingPoor odds23 devs · median $9.1k · 64 announced

All 93 pairs on the Gun Customization page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Hubris older $29.99 819 74% 25k $737k (exactly $736,854) Cyborn B.V.
Rocket Assault: Downhill Rush older $7.99 209 92% 6.3k $50k (exactly $50,097) Giovanni Elgert
ALARIC $14.99 14 92% 420 $6.3k (exactly $6,296) Dominik Grigoras
Virballs $14.99 12 100% 360 $5.4k (exactly $5,396) Bolder Games, Chimera Studios
BSurfing · EA older $5.99 13 69% 390 $2.3k (exactly $2,336) RiadDev
Guns & Fishes · EA older $1.99 28 92% 840 $1.7k (exactly $1,672) Cavalry
SurgePoint · EA $4.99 11 100% 330 $1.6k (exactly $1,647) The Blue
ITERAZERS older $8.99 4 100% 120 $1.1k (exactly $1,079) RERISE GAMES
Cape Warrior $2.99 11 81% 330 $987 (exactly $987) Saylor Games
Shake the Baby! $4.99 6 83% 180 $898 (exactly $898) Ivories Studios
The Rewind Factory older $4.99 6 100% 180 $898 (exactly $898) Fire Dev
Spellgun Sprint $3.99 2 100% 60 $239 (exactly $239) Team Spellslug
Vaccine Zombies $0.99 3 100% 90 $89 (exactly $89) David Brinkman
Attribute2 $0.99 1 0% 30 $30 (exactly $30) GreatZaochen
Nexfall $3.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) BrotherByte Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.