Do I ship it?

Games › 3D Fighter › 3D Fighter + Wargame

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Wargame 3D Fighter?

3D Fighter + Wargame

Of 27 developers who shipped a Wargame 3D Fighter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 30 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $150 in the last 2 years and $360 over 4, against a market of $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build. 14 developers shipped in the last year and 30 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 115% on the market, 30 announced, ×2.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Fighter + Wargame
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 27
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $356 → $900 → $59 → $148 → $179 → $599 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Fighter + Wargame: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 27
Bottom 30% $30 (exactly $30)
Median $148 (exactly $148)
Top 25% $2.3k (exactly $2,338)
Top 5% $83k (exactly $82,759)
Developers, 2 yr 27
Released games 77
Announced 30
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 115% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 21%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Fighter
effort 7 / 10 · low · 3D hit volumes plus the fighting-game tuning load
Wargame
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
3D Fighter, Wargame; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Simulation, Combat
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Third Person, Realistic
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 3,222 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $150, 1 in 4 over $2.3k, 1 in 20 over $82k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 16 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 30 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Fighter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ManagementFair11 devs · median $3.1k · 15 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair34 devs · median $2.1k · 42 announced
  3. + Walking SimulatorFair17 devs · median $1.2k · 3 announced
  4. + Choose Your Own AdventureLong shot17 devs · median $1.0k · 20 announced
  5. + RhythmLong shot9 devs · median $898 · 8 announced
  6. + CollectathonLong shot15 devs · median $598 · 6 announced
  7. + ModernLong shot12 devs · median $539 · 10 announced
  8. + SimulationLong shot83 devs · median $538 · 96 announced
  9. + FightingPoor odds55 devs · median $5.0k · 87 announced
  10. + WrestlingPoor odds11 devs · median $2.3k · 21 announced
  11. + Life SimPoor odds10 devs · median $2.1k · 21 announced
  12. + HistoricalPoor odds14 devs · median $1.6k · 25 announced

All 126 pairs on the 3D Fighter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Chivalry 2 2022 · $56M 近畿霊務局 - Kinki Spiritual Affairs Bureau 2024 · $833k F-22: Air Dominance Fighter 2026 · $83k Firelight Fantasy: Force Energy 2022 · $50k ShipCrafter 2025 · EA · $50k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Chivalry 2 older $39.99 46,707 79% 1.4M $56M (exactly $56,034,388) Torn Banner Studios
近畿霊務局 - Kinki Spiritual Affairs Bureau $9.99 2,780 92% 83k $833k (exactly $833,166) Noto Muteki
F-22: Air Dominance Fighter $19.99 138 91% 4.1k $83k (exactly $82,759) Digital Image Design Ltd.
Firelight Fantasy: Force Energy older $11.99 140 77% 4.2k $50k (exactly $50,358) Quacky Games
ShipCrafter · EA $7.99 209 90% 6.3k $50k (exactly $50,097) Myrmecoman
Tales Of Glory 4 : Ragnarok · EA $29.99 31 83% 930 $28k (exactly $27,891) BlackTale Games
J15 Jet Fighter VR (歼15舰载机) · EA older $9.99 44 47% 1.3k $13k (exactly $13,187) Magicvalley Studio
Leave No One Behind: Ia Drang VR older $24.99 12 50% 360 $9.0k (exactly $8,996) Gaming 301
Nemesis: Race Against The Pandemic older $4.99 30 53% 900 $4.5k (exactly $4,491) Arcade Theory
Bridge Hunter · EA $9.99 12 100% 360 $3.6k (exactly $3,596) Double Light
Hidden Heir $4.99 21 66% 630 $3.1k (exactly $3,144) AYS CODE YAZILIM
Final Strategy $12.99 6 16% 180 $2.3k (exactly $2,338) Final Strategy Studio
Tank Simulator $8.99 8 12% 240 $2.2k (exactly $2,158) Imperian Online - Praha
Forest $3.99 10 0% 300 $1.2k (exactly $1,197) Ihor Lema
Kings of Cratia $4.99 7 100% 210 $1.0k (exactly $1,048) eniscoskun

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.