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Should I ship a 3D Fighter Battle Royale?
Battle Royale + 3D Fighter
Only 17 developers shipped a 3D Fighter Battle Royale in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Vienkiemis, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 35 more are announced, ×5.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 10 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $120 in the last 2 years and $210 over 4, against a market of $1.3k for a 10 / 10 build. 7 developers shipped in the last year and 35 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $59 (exactly $59) |
|---|---|
| Median | $120 (exactly $120) |
| Top 25% | $748 (exactly $748) |
| Top 5% | $17k (exactly $17,147) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 17 |
| Released games | 98 |
| Announced | 35 |
| Effort | 10 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 20% on the market, supply 30% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 34%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Battle Royale
- effort 10 / 10 · low · 100-player servers and constant live ops
- 3D Fighter
- effort 7 / 10 · low · 3D hit volumes plus the fighting-game tuning load
What it takes
- Effort
- 10 / 10 · studio only
- Systems
- Battle Royale, 3D Fighter; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, PvP, Character Customization
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
- Art
- 6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Cute, Family Friendly
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 83% positive over 82 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $59. 9 in 10 of the 19 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 35 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Battle Royale with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Immersive SimFair
- + MysteryLong shot
- + LootPoor odds
- + SportsPoor odds
- + Hero ShooterPoor odds
- + PuzzlePoor odds
- + Psychological HorrorPoor odds
- + Dungeon CrawlerPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
- + 4 Player LocalPoor odds
- + RoguelitePoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | GigaBash | older | $24.99 | 1,951 94% | 59k | $1.5M (exactly $1,462,665) | Passion Republic Games |
| | TOUHOU SKY ARENA MATSURI CLIMAX | older | $19.99 | 200 86% | 6.0k | $120k (exactly $119,940) | AREAZERO |
| | Mad Streets | older | $14.99 | 200 85% | 6.0k | $90k (exactly $89,940) | Craftshop Arts Inc. |
| | The Wraith of the Galaxy | · EA older | $11.99 | 161 81% | 4.8k | $58k (exactly $57,912) | Whale Rock Games |
| | Vienkiemis | · EA | $12.99 | 44 100% | 1.3k | $17k (exactly $17,147) | dssob, SMEIVIS |
| | Tank Royale | · EA older | $9.99 | 50 88% | 1.5k | $15k (exactly $14,985) | BSS company |
| | Too Many Weapons | older | $9.99 | 32 71% | 960 | $9.6k (exactly $9,590) | Studio HK |
| | Russian Drunken Boxers | older | $24.99 | 11 100% | 330 | $8.2k (exactly $8,247) | Laush Dmitriy Segeevich |
| | Nine Nights | older | $12.99 | 21 76% | 630 | $8.2k (exactly $8,184) | Li Hui |
| | Go All Out | older | $9.99 | 18 61% | 540 | $5.4k (exactly $5,395) | Blue Sunset Games |
| | Holiday Party: Mascot Brawl | $13.99 | 12 100% | 360 | $5.0k (exactly $5,036) | NAMSON Digital | |
| | BLOKES on BLOCKS! | $9.99 | 4 100% | 120 | $1.2k (exactly $1,199) | CRAFTS & MEISTER Co., Ltd. | |
| | Forest | $3.99 | 10 0% | 300 | $1.2k (exactly $1,197) | Ihor Lema | |
| | War Job | $4.99 | 5 80% | 150 | $748 (exactly $748) | Stupid games | |
| | OutBreak: The Last Survivor | $9.99 | 2 0% | 60 | $599 (exactly $599) | Briant Entertainment | |
| | Neon Knights | $9.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $300 (exactly $300) | VHornet Games | |
| | Drone Fire | $2.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $179 (exactly $179) | QplusQ | |
| | Dungeons Bomb | $3.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $120 (exactly $120) | MARIOZY | |
| | 100 Men vs 1 Gorilla | $3.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $120 (exactly $120) | Kekdot |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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