Do I ship it?

GamesStealthStealth + 2D Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a 2D Platformer Stealth game?

Stealth + 2D Platformer

Of 49 developers who shipped a 2D Platformer Stealth game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 112 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300, ×0.5 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50. 112 games are announced against 33 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper, while revenue is up 20% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 20% on the market, 112 announced, ×3.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Stealth + 2D Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 49
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $839 → $2.7k → $718 → $240 → $599 → $450 → $479 (still earning) → $300 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Stealth + 2D Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 49
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $300 (exactly $300)
Top 25% $3.6k (exactly $3,591)
Top 5% $628k (exactly $628,231)
Developers, 2 yr 49
Released games 159
Announced 112
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 20% on the market, supply 105% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Stealth
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
2D Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Stealth, 2D Platformer; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Platformer, Adventure
Price point
$8.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Atmospheric, 2.5D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 77% positive over 4,450 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $300, 1 in 4 over $3.5k, 1 in 20 over $620k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 17 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 112 games are announced against 33 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Stealth with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + JRPGFair7 devs · median $1.3k · 12 announced
  2. + World War IIPoor odds11 devs · median $43k · 14 announced
  3. + LGBTQ+Poor odds19 devs · median $30k · 30 announced
  4. + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds8 devs · median $27k · 31 announced
  5. + WargamePoor odds10 devs · median $21k · 39 announced
  6. + DinosaursPoor odds10 devs · median $17k · 23 announced
  7. + Gun CustomizationPoor odds20 devs · median $13k · 63 announced
  8. + Base BuildingPoor odds21 devs · median $13k · 57 announced
  9. + Cold WarPoor odds7 devs · median $10k · 31 announced
  10. + HistoricalPoor odds32 devs · median $9.6k · 76 announced
  11. + MilitaryPoor odds43 devs · median $8.5k · 122 announced
  12. + WarPoor odds30 devs · median $7.6k · 89 announced

All 159 pairs on the Stealth page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Mark of the Ninja: Remastered older $19.99 6,584 95% 198k $3.9M (exactly $3,948,425) Klei Entertainment
Bye Sweet Carole $24.99 1,039 72% 31k $779k (exactly $778,938) Little Sewing Machine
Darwin's Paradox! $24.99 843 87% 25k $632k (exactly $631,997) ZDT Studio
Goblin Vyke: The Thief Tycoon $14.99 1,397 70% 42k $628k (exactly $628,231) Art Thieves
Oddworld: Soulstorm Enhanced Edition older $39.99 504 65% 15k $605k (exactly $604,649) Oddworld Inhabitants
METAL GEAR & METAL GEAR 2: Solid Snake older $19.99 775 83% 23k $465k (exactly $464,767) KONAMI
Creepy Tale older $4.99 2,378 87% 71k $356k (exactly $355,987) Creepy Brothers
My Memory of Us older $17.99 632 92% 19k $341k (exactly $341,090) Juggler Games
Kong: Survivor Instinct $24.99 338 71% 10k $253k (exactly $253,399) 7Levels
METAL GEAR SOLID: MASTER COLLECTION Vol.1 BONUS CONTENT older $59.99 125 63% 3.8k $225k (exactly $224,962) KONAMI
Deer & Boy $19.99 370 94% 11k $222k (exactly $221,889) Lifeline Games
The Siege and the Sandfox $14.99 180 64% 5.4k $81k (exactly $80,946) Cardboard Sword
Lia: Hacking Destiny $14.99 92 96% 2.8k $41k (exactly $41,372) Orube Game Studio
Haneda Girl $14.99 74 94% 2.2k $33k (exactly $33,278) Studio Koba
シシテナオ-Even in Death- $9.99 75 94% 2.3k $22k (exactly $22,478) Mugen Daraku
Antro $14.99 42 92% 1.3k $19k (exactly $18,887) Gatera Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.