Do I ship it?

GamesFarming SimFarming Sim + 2D Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a 2D Platformer Farming Sim?

Farming Sim + 2D Platformer

Of 40 developers who shipped a 2D Platformer Farming Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 59 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360 in the last 2 years and $330 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 4 / 10 build. 20 developers shipped in the last year and 59 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 305% on the market, 59 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Farming Sim + 2D Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 40
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $629 → $2.4k → $179 → $1.2k → $479 → $839 (still earning) → $359 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Farming Sim + 2D Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 40
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $359 (exactly $359)
Top 25% $1.5k (exactly $1,498)
Top 5% $240k (exactly $240,359)
Developers, 2 yr 40
Released games 100
Announced 59
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 305% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Farming Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
2D Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Farming Sim, 2D Platformer; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, RPG, Strategy
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Cute, Anime
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 2,401 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $360, 1 in 4 over $1.4k, 1 in 20 over $240k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 28 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 59 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Farming Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorFair19 devs · median $12k · 23 announced
  2. + DogsFair18 devs · median $4.1k · 20 announced
  3. + IncrementalFair140 devs · median $1.6k · 168 announced
  4. + IdlerFair208 devs · median $1.3k · 211 announced
  5. + TacticalFair12 devs · median $897 · 10 announced
  6. + Artificial IntelligenceFair17 devs · median $718 · 16 announced
  7. + God GameLong shot22 devs · median $359 · 24 announced
  8. + Visual NovelLong shot11 devs · median $239 · 13 announced
  9. + LGBTQ+Poor odds10 devs · median $146k · 16 announced
  10. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds11 devs · median $111k · 25 announced
  11. + JRPGPoor odds14 devs · median $89k · 20 announced
  12. + HorsesPoor odds14 devs · median $70k · 20 announced

All 102 pairs on the Farming Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Luna's Fishing Garden older $7.99 1,689 93% 51k $405k (exactly $404,853) Coldwild Games, illufinch
Dinotica $17.99 746 86% 22k $403k (exactly $402,616) XA Studio
欺神弄鬼 · EA $9.99 802 91% 24k $240k (exactly $240,359) 猫台班子工作室 Cat Caboodle
Dong-Jin Rice-hime(東津萌米) older $19.99 352 90% 11k $211k (exactly $211,094) STORIA, Narrator, SimonCreative
Dream Town Island older $12.99 490 95% 15k $191k (exactly $190,953) Kairosoft Co.,Ltd
Planet Lust $14.99 335 76% 10k $151k (exactly $150,650) Skullgear
Land Of Idyllic Beauty · EA older $11.99 222 83% 6.7k $80k (exactly $79,853) Neo
Shepherd's Crossing older $29.99 75 57% 2.3k $67k (exactly $67,478) SUCCESS
HG Adventure · EA older $13.99 132 88% 4.0k $55k (exactly $55,400) 皓际
Santhai older $12.99 137 89% 4.1k $53k (exactly $53,389) Hardworker Studio, Rachan Neamprasert
Immortal Farmer: System’s Mandate · EA $4.99 297 68% 8.9k $44k (exactly $44,461) oyogame
极乐不羡仙 $5.99 164 65% 4.9k $29k (exactly $29,471) 仙常居ソフト
World Tree Ranch: Elven Legacy $16.99 21 57% 630 $11k (exactly $10,704) Closed Garden
Welcome to Elite Cafe $8.99 11 100% 330 $3.0k (exactly $2,967) さめGames
StarMoon Forest · EA $10.99 7 14% 210 $2.3k (exactly $2,308) VC Power Studio
Isekai x Isekai $4.99 13 100% 390 $1.9k (exactly $1,946) Bubbles
TREEPURY: Farm Tycoon · EA $9.99 5 80% 150 $1.5k (exactly $1,498) Rabiar

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.