Do I ship it?

GamesGun CustomizationGun Customization + 2D Fighter

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Gun Customization 2D Fighter?

Gun Customization + 2D Fighter

Only 8 developers shipped a Gun Customization 2D Fighter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Type or Die, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 13 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $960, ×1.5 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $61; 1 in 20 cleared $12k, ×19 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 13 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.5 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 13 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Gun Customization + 2D Fighter
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 8

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Gun Customization + 2D Fighter: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 8
Bottom 30% $61 (exactly $61)
Median $959 (exactly $959)
Top 25% $5.1k (exactly $5,095)
Top 5% $12k (exactly $12,171)
Developers, 2 yr 8
Released games 31
Announced 13
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 200% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Gun Customization
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
2D Fighter
effort 5 / 10 · low · frame-precise animation and rollback netcode

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Gun Customization, 2D Fighter
Price point
$8.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 78% positive over 270 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $61, median $960, 1 in 4 over $5.0k, 1 in 20 over $12k.

3 in 10 developers made under $61. 13 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Gun Customization with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Tower DefenseFair26 devs · median $958 · 32 announced
  2. + DystopianPoor odds16 devs · median $51k · 58 announced
  3. + Immersive SimPoor odds12 devs · median $25k · 44 announced
  4. + BuildingPoor odds13 devs · median $16k · 39 announced
  5. + Survival HorrorPoor odds26 devs · median $14k · 55 announced
  6. + ModernPoor odds18 devs · median $14k · 38 announced
  7. + MilitaryPoor odds50 devs · median $13k · 126 announced
  8. + StealthPoor odds20 devs · median $13k · 63 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds31 devs · median $11k · 92 announced
  10. + MechsPoor odds12 devs · median $11k · 32 announced
  11. + Resource ManagementPoor odds28 devs · median $11k · 71 announced
  12. + Base BuildingPoor odds23 devs · median $9.1k · 64 announced

All 93 pairs on the Gun Customization page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Nurose · EA older $9.99 90 87% 2.7k $27k (exactly $26,973) Orongto
Type or Die $13.99 29 31% 870 $12k (exactly $12,171) Type or Die
Bloody Rampage City older $4.99 37 70% 1.1k $5.5k (exactly $5,539) Crimson Chaos Studios
Lab Inspect older $4.99 37 86% 1.1k $5.5k (exactly $5,539) 8BITLAB
Battle Squares $9.99 17 76% 510 $5.1k (exactly $5,095) Feesh Studio
Starlight: Eye of the Storm older $7.99 17 88% 510 $4.1k (exactly $4,075) Strides Interactive Game Studio
Magic and Elements older $4.99 23 73% 690 $3.4k (exactly $3,443) HIlous
Chemical Combat $8.99 7 100% 210 $1.9k (exactly $1,888) SigmoidDev
Battle of Finland: Winter War older $4.99 9 100% 270 $1.3k (exactly $1,347) Team-K
Meet Me In The Well $7.99 4 100% 120 $959 (exactly $959) Lord Moose Games
Shell of the coward $9.99 2 50% 60 $599 (exactly $599) Jacquey Arthur
Ghost of Kyiv $2.04 1 100% 30 $61 (exactly $61) Jonald
Skull Skull Skull $3.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) T-Bone
Tretrais · EA $3.00 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) DJAS Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.