Do I ship it?

Games › Traditional Roguelike › Traditional Roguelike + Tabletop

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Tabletop Traditional Roguelike?

Traditional Roguelike + Tabletop

Of 23 developers who shipped a Tabletop Traditional Roguelike in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 15 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $780, ×1.6 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $16k, ×34 the market median. Revenue is down 55% on the market; 15 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 55% on the market, 15 announced, ×0.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Traditional Roguelike + Tabletop
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 23
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.9k → $179 (still earning) → $359 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Traditional Roguelike + Tabletop: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 23
Bottom 30% $120 (exactly $120)
Median $779 (exactly $779)
Top 25% $2.7k (exactly $2,691)
Top 5% $16k (exactly $16,147)
Developers, 2 yr 23
Released games 31
Announced 15
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 55% on the market, supply 565% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 3%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Traditional Roguelike
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Tabletop
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Traditional Roguelike, Tabletop; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Roguelike, Strategy, Deckbuilding
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $6.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Colorful, Dark
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $6.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 554 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $780, 1 in 4 over $2.6k, 1 in 20 over $16k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 15 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Traditional Roguelike with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Female ProtagonistFair15 devs · median $2.9k · 19 announced
  2. + Procedural GenerationFair71 devs · median $2.0k · 93 announced
  3. + CRPGFair12 devs · median $1.9k · 13 announced
  4. + Perma DeathFair49 devs · median $1.8k · 55 announced
  5. + Turn-Based CombatFair81 devs · median $1.4k · 107 announced
  6. + Sci-fiFair26 devs · median $1.4k · 23 announced
  7. + TacticalFair38 devs · median $987 · 57 announced
  8. + FantasyFair99 devs · median $898 · 125 announced
  9. + Turn-Based StrategyFair63 devs · median $779 · 101 announced
  10. + Turn-Based TacticsFair78 devs · median $629 · 95 announced
  11. + RoguelikeFair247 devs · median $599 · 314 announced
  12. + StrategyFair152 devs · median $599 · 207 announced

All 54 pairs on the Traditional Roguelike page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

ADOM (Ancient Domains Of Mystery) 2015 · $563k Flick Shot Rogues 2025 · $133k Rogue 2020 · $45k XenoWorld ~The Rondeau of Astra~ 2023 · $37k It's time, Your Majesty 2025 · $16k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
ADOM (Ancient Domains Of Mystery) older $14.99 1,253 86% 38k $563k (exactly $563,474) Thomas Biskup, Jochen Terstiege, Zeno R… (Thomas Biskup, Jochen Terstiege, Zeno Rogue, Krzysztof Dycha, Lucas Dieguez)
Flick Shot Rogues $14.99 295 87% 8.9k $133k (exactly $132,662) Butter By The Fish
Rogue older $2.99 498 94% 15k $45k (exactly $44,671) Epyx, Inc.
XenoWorld ~The Rondeau of Astra~ older $10.99 112 75% 3.4k $37k (exactly $36,926) IMaiIna_, INA
It's time, Your Majesty $6.99 77 64% 2.3k $16k (exactly $16,147) String studio
Dice Dice Baby $4.99 78 88% 2.3k $12k (exactly $11,677) Nugget Games Studio
Snake Eyes Dungeon older $4.99 35 62% 1.1k $5.2k (exactly $5,240) Tetabester
Battle Of The Abyss $4.99 33 93% 990 $4.9k (exactly $4,940) 1029studio
Dungeon & Poker $6.99 13 92% 390 $2.7k (exactly $2,726) Vansonstudio
Blackjack Roulette $2.99 30 83% 900 $2.7k (exactly $2,691) DreamArk Lab
Tavrik $11.99 6 100% 180 $2.2k (exactly $2,158) Nyra Games
Dragonwake $7.99 8 62% 240 $1.9k (exactly $1,918) Mr Crops
Somnial Ouija $7.99 6 50% 180 $1.4k (exactly $1,438) ToMeng Studio
天道轮回：我的修仙梦 $5.99 8 37% 240 $1.4k (exactly $1,438) Kaka Ku Games Inc.

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.