Do I ship it?

GamesTurn-Based TacticsTurn-Based Tactics + Traditional Roguelike

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Traditional Roguelike Turn-Based Tactics?

Turn-Based Tactics + Traditional Roguelike

Of 78 developers who shipped a Traditional Roguelike Turn-Based Tactics in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 95 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $630, level with the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $150. Revenue is flat on the market; 95 games are announced against 62 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 95 announced, ×1.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Turn-Based Tactics + Traditional Roguelike
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 78
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $64k → $300 → $1.2k → $1.1k → $3.3k → $1.0k (still earning) → $479 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Turn-Based Tactics + Traditional Roguelike: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 78
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $629 (exactly $629)
Top 25% $5.4k (exactly $5,396)
Top 5% $120k (exactly $119,952)
Developers, 2 yr 78
Released games 133
Announced 95
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 290% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 2%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Turn-Based Tactics
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Traditional Roguelike
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Turn-Based Tactics, Traditional Roguelike; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Roguelike, Strategy, RPG
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $15.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Top-Down, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $15.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 2,802 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $630, 1 in 4 over $5.3k, 1 in 20 over $110k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 8 in 10 of the 17 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 95 games are announced against 62 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Turn-Based Tactics with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TanksFair24 devs · median $3.0k · 24 announced
  2. + AutomationFair28 devs · median $2.9k · 36 announced
  3. + ProgrammingFair14 devs · median $2.4k · 16 announced
  4. + DiceFair47 devs · median $1.6k · 53 announced
  5. + MiningFair10 devs · median $1.5k · 8 announced
  6. + Time ManagementFair65 devs · median $1.4k · 69 announced
  7. + IdlerFair47 devs · median $1.3k · 48 announced
  8. + Psychological HorrorFair55 devs · median $1.0k · 56 announced
  9. + PsychologicalFair34 devs · median $629 · 40 announced
  10. + PuzzleFair263 devs · median $598 · 308 announced
  11. + PlatformerLong shot15 devs · median $360 · 18 announced
  12. + Local MultiplayerLong shot101 devs · median $239 · 121 announced

All 189 pairs on the Turn-Based Tactics page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Low Magic Age · EA older $14.99 3,342 89% 100k $1.5M (exactly $1,502,897) Low Magic Studios
Shiren the Wanderer: The Mystery Dungeon of Serpentcoil Island $39.99 470 85% 14k $564k (exactly $563,859) Spike Chunsoft Co., Ltd.
Tangledeep older $14.99 1,075 82% 32k $483k (exactly $483,428) Impact Gameworks
Desktop Dungeons: Rewind older $19.99 501 75% 15k $300k (exactly $300,450) QCF Design
Prime of Flames older $9.99 923 84% 28k $277k (exactly $276,623) RAYKA STUDIO
Monster Girls and the Mysterious Adventure 2 older $24.99 342 89% 10k $256k (exactly $256,397) NEKOTOKAGE GAMES
WazHack older $9.99 586 89% 18k $176k (exactly $175,624) Waz
Kādomon: Hyper Auto Battlers $9.99 543 65% 16k $163k (exactly $162,737) Dino Rocket
Sproggiwood older $14.99 326 79% 9.8k $147k (exactly $146,602) Freehold Games
Flick Shot Rogues $14.99 295 87% 8.9k $133k (exactly $132,662) Butter By The Fish
Dragon Quest Heroes: Torneko's Mystery Dungeon -Classic HD- $24.99 160 49% 4.8k $120k (exactly $119,952) Square Enix
Jupiter Hell Classic · EA $14.99 230 95% 6.9k $103k (exactly $103,431) ChaosForge
Forsworn $15.99 187 90% 5.6k $90k (exactly $89,704) Resummon Studios LLC
Backpack Dungeon $3.99 656 87% 20k $79k (exactly $78,523) 夜喵
Lost in Prayer · EA $19.99 92 80% 2.8k $55k (exactly $55,172) Nine Dots Studio
Infinite Cards $15.99 96 93% 2.9k $46k (exactly $46,051) Tubby Turtle Studios
Indies' Lies 2: Fire Seed $14.99 73 67% 2.2k $33k (exactly $32,828) Fun Square Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.