Games › Submarine › Submarine + Sci-fi
Should I ship a Sci-fi Submarine game?
Submarine + Sci-fi
Only 18 developers shipped a Sci-fi Submarine game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Darkwater, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 34 more are announced, ×3.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.8k, ×2.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $290k, ×472 the market median. Revenue is up 670% on the market; 34 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $300 (exactly $300) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.8k (exactly $1,796) |
| Top 25% | $8.7k (exactly $8,683) |
| Top 5% | $296k (exactly $296,403) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 18 |
| Released games | 51 |
| Announced | 34 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 670% on the market, supply 55% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Submarine; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Exploration, Action, Action-Adventure
- Price point
- $7.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, 3D, First-Person
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 79% positive over 2,133 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $300. 9 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 34 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Submarine with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + NatureFair
- + StrategyFair
- + Naval CombatPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + HorrorPoor odds
- + PhysicsPoor odds
- + SimulationPoor odds
- + Open WorldPoor odds
- + NavalPoor odds
- + ExplorationPoor odds
- + AdventurePoor odds
- + Immersive SimPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Barotrauma | older | $34.99 | 61,905 94% | 1.9M | $65M (exactly $64,981,678) | FakeFish, Undertow Games |
| | Iron Lung | older | $7.99 | 10,168 92% | 305k | $2.4M (exactly $2,437,270) | David Szymanski |
| | Under The Waves | older | $29.99 | 1,683 77% | 50k | $1.5M (exactly $1,514,195) | Parallel Studio |
| | STASIS: BONE TOTEM | older | $19.99 | 2,025 93% | 61k | $1.2M (exactly $1,214,392) | THE BROTHERHOOD |
| | Model Builder: Complete Edition | older | $19.99 | 1,058 74% | 32k | $634k (exactly $634,483) | Moonlit S.A. |
| | Darkwater | $9.99 | 989 77% | 30k | $296k (exactly $296,403) | Targon Studios | |
| | Ocean Keeper: Dome Survival | $9.99 | 826 77% | 25k | $248k (exactly $247,552) | RetroStyle Games | |
| | Submarine Titans | older | $4.99 | 348 86% | 10k | $52k (exactly $52,096) | Ellipse Studios |
| | AquaNox | older | $4.99 | 287 76% | 8.6k | $43k (exactly $42,964) | Massive Development |
| | Swirl W@tch | older | $14.99 | 54 98% | 1.6k | $24k (exactly $24,284) | Sleeper Games |
| | FULL METAL COFFIN | $4.99 | 137 94% | 4.1k | $21k (exactly $20,509) | Titanite, Mantle Array, Xenith | |
| | CRUSH DEPTH | $7.99 | 49 97% | 1.5k | $12k (exactly $11,745) | Earth Giant | |
| | The Abyss Below | $4.99 | 58 81% | 1.7k | $8.7k (exactly $8,683) | Broken Relay | |
| | A Tale of Silent Depths | $9.99 | 21 80% | 630 | $6.3k (exactly $6,294) | Crit42 Studio | |
| | Submeris | $4.99 | 19 57% | 570 | $2.8k (exactly $2,844) | OxygenStudio | |
| | Deep Sea Idle: Infinity Abyss | $4.99 | 18 83% | 540 | $2.7k (exactly $2,695) | HIGHKICKSTUDIO | |
| | Silent Paradise Anthology | $4.99 | 12 100% | 360 | $1.8k (exactly $1,796) | Dreamnoid | |
| | 7821 Akuji | $8.99 | 4 100% | 120 | $1.1k (exactly $1,079) | CatBiteStudios |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.