Do I ship it?

GamesCo-opCo-op + Submarine

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Co-op Submarine game?

Co-op + Submarine

Only 10 developers shipped a Co-op Submarine game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Abyssus, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 21 more are announced, ×3.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.0k, ×2.0 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $900; 1 in 20 cleared $3.7M, ×2509 the market median. Revenue is down 100% on the market; 21 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 21 announced, ×3.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Co-op + Submarine
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Co-op + Submarine: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $899 (exactly $899)
Median $3.0k (exactly $2,997)
Top 25% $95k (exactly $95,161)
Top 5% $3.8M (exactly $3,758,996)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 25
Announced 21
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 100% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Co-op
effort 7 / 10 · low · co-op on Steam means online sessions and drop-in sync
Submarine
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Co-op, Submarine
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 6,574 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $900, median $3.0k, 1 in 4 over $95k, 1 in 20 over $3.7M.

3 in 10 developers made under $900. 4 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 21 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Co-op with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SuperheroFair9 devs · median $11k · 17 announced
  2. + Boomer ShooterFair16 devs · median $6.9k · 24 announced
  3. + GamblingFair22 devs · median $4.4k · 32 announced
  4. + NinjaFair13 devs · median $4.2k · 13 announced
  5. + TypingLong shot16 devs · median $810 · 13 announced
  6. + Word GameLong shot23 devs · median $267 · 23 announced
  7. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds58 devs · median $515k · 127 announced
  8. + World War IIPoor odds12 devs · median $372k · 23 announced
  9. + AutomationPoor odds48 devs · median $369k · 110 announced
  10. + TransportationPoor odds17 devs · median $369k · 25 announced
  11. + JRPGPoor odds15 devs · median $164k · 19 announced
  12. + Turn-BasedPoor odds12 devs · median $131k · 19 announced

All 230 pairs on the Co-op page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Barotrauma older $34.99 61,905 94% 1.9M $65M (exactly $64,981,678) FakeFish, Undertow Games
Abyssus $24.99 5,014 84% 150k $3.8M (exactly $3,758,996) DoubleMoose Games
We Need To Go Deeper older $15.99 4,652 86% 140k $2.2M (exactly $2,231,564) Deli Interactive LLC
Wolfpack · EA older $34.99 1,862 88% 56k $2.0M (exactly $1,954,541) Usurpator AB
The Fisherman - Fishing Planet older $29.99 975 62% 29k $877k (exactly $877,208) Fishing Planet LLC
Line War older $24.99 1,076 80% 32k $807k (exactly $806,677) Studio Centurion
IronWolf VR older $19.99 1,087 94% 33k $652k (exactly $651,874) Ionized Studios
Darkwater $9.99 989 77% 30k $296k (exactly $296,403) Targon Studios
Iron Sea Defenders older $14.99 305 81% 9.2k $137k (exactly $137,158) Creobit
Subterror $7.99 397 90% 12k $95k (exactly $95,161) Team Monumental
FULL METAL COFFIN $4.99 137 94% 4.1k $21k (exactly $20,509) Titanite, Mantle Array, Xenith
Abyss Crew $9.99 10 30% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) PGM Studio, Deep Slap Studio
Sub Optimal Co. $3.99 8 62% 240 $958 (exactly $958) It's A Sidegame
Depth Diver · EA $9.99 3 100% 90 $899 (exactly $899) Nerra Tolstoï, FLaV
Piece of Ship · EA $3.99 5 80% 150 $598 (exactly $598) r-sky
My Rusty Submarine - New Waters $1.99 10 100% 300 $597 (exactly $597) Sørb
Catmarine $5.99 1 100% 30 $180 (exactly $180) Hex Foundry

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.