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Should I ship a Sailing Turn-Based Strategy?
Sailing + Turn-Based Strategy
Only 6 developers shipped a paid Sailing Turn-Based Strategy in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Rogue Waters, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 5 in 10 of the games here are free to play and sit outside these figures. 11 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.
Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $47k against a market of $630. 11 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $899 (exactly $899) |
|---|---|
| Median | $47k (exactly $47,218) |
| Top 25% | $74k (exactly $74,200) |
| Top 5% | $859k (exactly $859,214) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 6 |
| Released games | 27 |
| Announced | 11 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $14.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 100% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 48%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Sailing
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Turn-Based Strategy
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Sailing, Turn-Based Strategy
- Price point
- $14.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 85% positive over 2,665 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $900. 11 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Sailing with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + UnderwaterFair
- + Base BuildingPoor odds
- + Immersive SimPoor odds
- + BuildingPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + Procedural GenerationPoor odds
- + CraftingPoor odds
- + Open WorldPoor odds
- + Action RPGPoor odds
- + Resource ManagementPoor odds
- + SurvivalPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Rogue Waters | $29.99 | 955 75% | 29k | $859k (exactly $859,214) | Ice Code Games | |
| | Horizon's Gate | older | $19.99 | 1,213 94% | 36k | $727k (exactly $727,436) | Rad Codex |
| | High Seas, High Profits! | $14.99 | 165 86% | 5.0k | $74k (exactly $74,200) | lexy.zip | |
| | Pirates Outlaws 2: Heritage | · EA | $14.99 | 105 60% | 3.2k | $47k (exactly $47,218) | Fabled Game |
| | 12 Labours of Hercules VII: Fleecing the Fleece (Platinum Edition) | older | $2.99 | 134 93% | 4.0k | $12k (exactly $12,020) | Jetdogs Studios, Zoom Out Games |
| | Dee-6: Dice Defenders | older | $4.99 | 45 73% | 1.4k | $6.7k (exactly $6,736) | KBA3u's factory |
| | Deep Blue Fantasy | · EA older | $8.99 | 15 66% | 450 | $4.0k (exactly $4,046) | Gravity Garden |
| | Pirates - Digital Strategy Game | · EA older | $9.99 | 11 90% | 330 | $3.3k (exactly $3,297) | Twin Dimensional Productions |
| | Tailwind | older | $3.99 | 12 50% | 360 | $1.4k (exactly $1,436) | ClickGames |
| | DEPTH STRIKE | $3.00 | 10 100% | 300 | $900 (exactly $900) | Victoria Games | |
| | Old Salt | $14.99 | 2 50% | 60 | $899 (exactly $899) | Kneeshaw Developments, Never Board Games | |
| | Pirate Sagas: The Golden Age | · EA | $4.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $150 (exactly $150) | Pirate Sagas |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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