Do I ship it?

GamesCo-opCo-op + Sailing

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Co-op Sailing game?

Co-op + Sailing

Only 14 developers shipped a Co-op Sailing game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Aloft, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 40 more are announced, ×5.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $38k, ×25 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $4.4k; 1 in 20 cleared $2.2M, ×1530 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 40 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 25.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 85% on the market, 40 announced, ×5.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Co-op + Sailing
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $38k → $1.8M → $4.3k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Co-op + Sailing: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $4.3k (exactly $4,313)
Median $38k (exactly $38,170)
Top 25% $356k (exactly $356,108)
Top 5% $2.3M (exactly $2,291,833)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 36
Announced 40
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $18.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Co-op
effort 7 / 10 · low · co-op on Steam means online sessions and drop-in sync
Sailing
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Co-op, Sailing
Price point
$18.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 77% positive over 8,172 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $4.4k, median $38k, 1 in 4 over $350k, 1 in 20 over $2.2M.

3 in 10 developers made under $4.4k. 4 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 40 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Co-op with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SuperheroFair9 devs · median $11k · 17 announced
  2. + Boomer ShooterFair16 devs · median $6.9k · 24 announced
  3. + GamblingFair22 devs · median $4.4k · 32 announced
  4. + NinjaFair13 devs · median $4.2k · 13 announced
  5. + TypingLong shot16 devs · median $810 · 13 announced
  6. + Word GameLong shot23 devs · median $267 · 23 announced
  7. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds58 devs · median $515k · 127 announced
  8. + World War IIPoor odds12 devs · median $372k · 23 announced
  9. + AutomationPoor odds48 devs · median $369k · 110 announced
  10. + TransportationPoor odds17 devs · median $369k · 25 announced
  11. + JRPGPoor odds15 devs · median $164k · 19 announced
  12. + Turn-BasedPoor odds12 devs · median $131k · 19 announced

All 230 pairs on the Co-op page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Sea of Thieves: 2026 Edition older $39.99 322,072 88% 9.7M $386M (exactly $386,389,778) Rare Ltd
ATLAS · EA older $29.99 37,119 46% 1.1M $33M (exactly $33,395,964) Grapeshot Games, Instinct Games
Skull and Bones older $29.99 4,650 65% 140k $4.2M (exactly $4,183,605) Ubisoft Singapore
Aloft · EA $24.99 3,057 82% 92k $2.3M (exactly $2,291,833) Astrolabe Interactive Inc.
Seafarer: The Ship Sim · EA $34.99 1,921 64% 58k $2.0M (exactly $2,016,474) astragon Development
Ships At Sea · EA older $24.99 2,479 69% 74k $1.9M (exactly $1,858,506) Misc Games
Voyagers of Nera · EA $29.99 2,022 83% 61k $1.8M (exactly $1,819,193) Treehouse Games
Windward older $9.99 2,668 79% 80k $800k (exactly $799,600) Tasharen Entertainment Inc.
Tempest: Pirate Action RPG older $14.99 1,778 69% 53k $800k (exactly $799,567) HeroCraft
Forgotten Seas $24.99 475 75% 14k $356k (exactly $356,108) Pangea Game Studios
Windward Horizon $19.99 401 79% 12k $240k (exactly $240,480) Tasharen Entertainment Inc.
Sailaway III $15.99 158 68% 4.7k $76k (exactly $75,793) Orbcreation BV
Sailing alone:Aftermath · EA $18.99 67 68% 2.0k $38k (exactly $38,170) MLStudio
The Pirate: Republic of Nassau $19.99 25 68% 750 $15k (exactly $14,992) Home Net Games
Tidewrack $9.99 22 68% 660 $6.6k (exactly $6,593) OverLKD Studio
Calm Horizon $5.99 24 83% 720 $4.3k (exactly $4,313) 烟熏渔

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.