Do I ship it?

GamesRTSRTS + Transportation

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Transportation RTS?

RTS + Transportation

Only 7 developers shipped a Transportation RTS in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Worldwide Rush, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 19 more are announced, ×9.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

Only 2 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $270 against a market of $1.5k. 19 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 19 announced, ×9.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
RTS + Transportation
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 7

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for RTS + Transportation: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 7
Bottom 30% $60 (exactly $60)
Median $269 (exactly $269)
Top 25% $99k (exactly $98,601)
Top 5% $335k (exactly $335,232)
Developers, 2 yr 7
Released games 28
Announced 19
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 60% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

RTS
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Transportation
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
RTS, Transportation
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $11.99.

The top 10 games average 79% positive over 16,266 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $60, median $270, 1 in 4 over $98k, 1 in 20 over $330k.

3 in 10 developers made under $60. 7 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 19 games are announced against 2 developers who shipped in the last year, ×9.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

RTS with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomeFair12 devs · median $64k · 13 announced
  2. + Outbreak SimFair16 devs · median $2.6k · 14 announced
  3. + HorrorFair20 devs · median $2.4k · 27 announced
  4. + NavalFair15 devs · median $2.4k · 21 announced
  5. + TabletopFair25 devs · median $1.9k · 33 announced
  6. + SportsLong shot19 devs · median $861 · 9 announced
  7. + PuzzleLong shot48 devs · median $479 · 40 announced
  8. + World War IIPoor odds23 devs · median $105k · 38 announced
  9. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds28 devs · median $64k · 41 announced
  10. + Open WorldPoor odds45 devs · median $35k · 100 announced
  11. + Colony SimPoor odds87 devs · median $31k · 159 announced
  12. + HistoricalPoor odds108 devs · median $30k · 180 announced

All 149 pairs on the RTS page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Sailing Era older $24.99 4,565 78% 137k $3.4M (exactly $3,422,380) GY Games
Rise of Industry older $29.99 3,122 74% 94k $2.8M (exactly $2,808,863) Dapper Penguin Studios
Mashinky · EA older $24.99 2,361 84% 71k $1.8M (exactly $1,770,042) Jan Zelený
Fly Corp older $14.99 3,112 85% 93k $1.4M (exactly $1,399,466) KishMish Games
RAILGRADE older $29.99 1,205 84% 36k $1.1M (exactly $1,084,138) Minakata Dynamics
I am an Air Traffic Controller 4 older $59.99 566 79% 17k $1.0M (exactly $1,018,630) TechnoBrain
Worldwide Rush $19.99 559 77% 17k $335k (exactly $335,232) Memel Games
Delivery INC older $14.99 257 71% 7.7k $116k (exactly $115,573) DIGIFOX
Super Loco World - Cozy Train Automation $9.99 329 76% 9.9k $99k (exactly $98,601) Andrii Bychkovskyi
East India Company older $9.99 190 52% 5.7k $57k (exactly $56,943) Nitro Games
Pocket and Zooom $15.99 16 75% 480 $7.7k (exactly $7,675) TechnoBrain
Air Fleet $2.99 3 0% 90 $269 (exactly $269) River Way Studios
hotland $1.99 1 100% 30 $60 (exactly $60) AdamasZ
H2My Park Game $8.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Michael Szonn
Truck Master $12.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Urban Isotope

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.