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Should I ship a Trading Card Game RTS?
RTS + Trading Card Game
Only 8 developers shipped a paid Trading Card Game RTS in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, It's time, Your Majesty, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 4 in 10 of the games here are free to play and sit outside these figures. 17 more are announced, ×5.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.
Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $90 against a market of $1.5k. 17 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $0 (exactly $0) |
|---|---|
| Median | $90 (exactly $90) |
| Top 25% | $7.2k (exactly $7,194) |
| Top 5% | $16k (exactly $16,147) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 8 |
| Released games | 27 |
| Announced | 17 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 170% on the market, supply 40% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 44%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- RTS
- effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
- Trading Card Game
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- RTS, Trading Card Game
- Price point
- $5.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 69% positive over 748 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 17 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.7 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
RTS with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + RomeFair
- + Outbreak SimFair
- + HorrorFair
- + NavalFair
- + TabletopFair
- + SportsLong shot
- + PuzzleLong shot
- + World War IIPoor odds
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
- + Open WorldPoor odds
- + Colony SimPoor odds
- + HistoricalPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Control Craft 2 | older | $4.99 | 274 72% | 8.2k | $41k (exactly $41,018) | Cristian Manolachi, Atomic Fabrik |
| | Control Craft 3 | older | $4.99 | 235 73% | 7.1k | $35k (exactly $35,180) | Cristian Manolachi, Atomic Fabrik |
| | 九州风流 | · EA older | $17.99 | 38 60% | 1.1k | $21k (exactly $20,509) | GB |
| | It's time, Your Majesty | $6.99 | 77 64% | 2.3k | $16k (exactly $16,147) | String studio | |
| | Soul•Apocalypto | $11.99 | 20 80% | 600 | $7.2k (exactly $7,194) | 卜乙冈(Ploygon) | |
| | Bacon Tales - Between Pigs and Wolves | older | $1.99 | 63 61% | 1.9k | $3.8k (exactly $3,761) | Uruca Game Studio |
| | DIMENSION RANGER | $9.50 | 12 83% | 360 | $3.4k (exactly $3,420) | 游际线 | |
| | Emperor Kingdom | older | $4.99 | 11 27% | 330 | $1.6k (exactly $1,647) | Carnivore Games |
| | Sweet Forest Guardian | older | $1.99 | 17 47% | 510 | $1.0k (exactly $1,015) | King Kong |
| | Mage of Tempest Castle | $2.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $90 (exactly $90) | Donnie Lee | |
| | 考试 Exam | $1.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $60 (exactly $60) | Timothy | |
| | Paper Mages | $4.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Gently Giant LLC | |
| | 怪物复仇卡牌 MONSTER REVENGE CARDS | $5.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Zurey | |
| | 黑帆王座·Galactic Loadout | $0.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Pocket Forge |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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