Do I ship it?

GamesRTSRTS + Shooter

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Shooter RTS?

RTS + Shooter

Of 40 developers who shipped a Shooter RTS in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 82 more are announced, ×3.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $450 in the last 2 years and $480 over 4, against a market of $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build. 22 developers shipped in the last year and 82 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 795% on the market, 82 announced, ×3.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
RTS + Shooter
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 40
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.0k → $539 → $9.6k → $270 → $599 → $899 → $599 (still earning) → $1.7k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for RTS + Shooter: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 40
Bottom 30% $59 (exactly $59)
Median $450 (exactly $450)
Top 25% $1.7k (exactly $1,678)
Top 5% $187k (exactly $186,550)
Developers, 2 yr 40
Released games 157
Announced 82
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 795% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

RTS
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Shooter
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
RTS, Shooter; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Strategy, Combat
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $16.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Top-Down, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $16.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 74% positive over 1,833 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $59, median $450, 1 in 4 over $1.6k, 1 in 20 over $180k.

3 in 10 developers made under $59. 9 in 10 of the 25 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 82 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

RTS with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomeFair12 devs · median $64k · 13 announced
  2. + Outbreak SimFair16 devs · median $2.6k · 14 announced
  3. + HorrorFair20 devs · median $2.4k · 27 announced
  4. + NavalFair15 devs · median $2.4k · 21 announced
  5. + TabletopFair25 devs · median $1.9k · 33 announced
  6. + SportsLong shot19 devs · median $861 · 9 announced
  7. + PuzzleLong shot48 devs · median $479 · 40 announced
  8. + World War IIPoor odds23 devs · median $105k · 38 announced
  9. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds28 devs · median $64k · 41 announced
  10. + Open WorldPoor odds45 devs · median $35k · 100 announced
  11. + Colony SimPoor odds87 devs · median $31k · 159 announced
  12. + HistoricalPoor odds108 devs · median $30k · 180 announced

All 149 pairs on the RTS page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Call to Arms - Gates of Hell: Ostfront older $34.99 32,183 85% 965k $34M (exactly $33,782,495) Barbedwire Studios, Digitalmindsoft
UBOAT older $29.99 25,568 83% 767k $23M (exactly $23,003,530) Deep Water Studio
Outpost: Infinity Siege older $24.99 11,636 65% 349k $8.7M (exactly $8,723,509) Team Ranger
Freeman: Guerrilla Warfare older $24.99 11,489 64% 345k $8.6M (exactly $8,613,303) KK Game Studio
Call to Arms older $14.99 17,431 80% 523k $7.8M (exactly $7,838,721) Digitalmindsoft
Halo Wars: Definitive Edition older $19.99 8,627 92% 259k $5.2M (exactly $5,173,612) Ensemble Studios, Behaviour Interactive… (Ensemble Studios, Behaviour Interactive, 343 Industries)
Door Kickers older $19.99 8,041 94% 241k $4.8M (exactly $4,822,188) KillHouse Games
Total Conflict: Resistance · EA older $29.99 5,089 74% 153k $4.6M (exactly $4,578,573) Thunder Devs.
Silica · EA older $19.99 4,468 77% 134k $2.7M (exactly $2,679,460) Martin 'Dram' Melichárek
Natural Selection 2 older $4.99 8,633 85% 259k $1.3M (exactly $1,292,360) Unknown Worlds Entertainment
Trench Lord: Eastern Front $11.99 774 83% 23k $278k (exactly $278,408) Tracer Studio, LING YUN CO.,LTD.
Drone Sector · EA $16.99 366 89% 11k $187k (exactly $186,550) Icosphere
7 Days Blood Moons · EA $9.99 418 40% 13k $125k (exactly $125,275) iLLOGIKA
Artificial Extinction 2 $19.99 113 77% 3.4k $68k (exactly $67,766) 100Hr Games Inc
IRON GUARD: Salvation $17.99 44 93% 1.3k $24k (exactly $23,747) Xlab Digital
Status One $14.99 30 73% 900 $13k (exactly $13,491) LastCall Studio
Bad Pixels · EA $11.99 22 95% 660 $7.9k (exactly $7,913) Dadako
Dune Rancher $2.99 39 76% 1.2k $3.5k (exactly $3,498) Jestercraft
Girls vs Goblins $2.99 19 73% 570 $1.7k (exactly $1,704) Maiden Realm
JAIL DICE: Roll to Break $6.99 8 100% 240 $1.7k (exactly $1,678) GyoonyGames

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.