Do I ship it?

GamesRTSRTS + Shoot 'Em Up

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Shoot 'Em Up RTS?

RTS + Shoot 'Em Up

Only 9 developers shipped a Shoot 'Em Up RTS in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Touhou Spell Carnival, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced, ×5.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $450 against a market of $1.5k. 17 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 17 announced, ×5.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
RTS + Shoot 'Em Up
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $11k → $2.2k → $21k → $748
Outcomes for RTS + Shoot 'Em Up: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $119 (exactly $119)
Median $450 (exactly $450)
Top 25% $1.4k (exactly $1,439)
Top 5% $73k (exactly $73,485)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 38
Announced 17
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 50% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

RTS
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Shoot 'Em Up
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
RTS, Shoot 'Em Up
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 76% positive over 2,499 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $450, 1 in 4 over $1.4k, 1 in 20 over $73k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 17 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

RTS with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomeFair12 devs · median $64k · 13 announced
  2. + Outbreak SimFair16 devs · median $2.6k · 14 announced
  3. + HorrorFair20 devs · median $2.4k · 27 announced
  4. + NavalFair15 devs · median $2.4k · 21 announced
  5. + TabletopFair25 devs · median $1.9k · 33 announced
  6. + SportsLong shot19 devs · median $861 · 9 announced
  7. + PuzzleLong shot48 devs · median $479 · 40 announced
  8. + World War IIPoor odds23 devs · median $105k · 38 announced
  9. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds28 devs · median $64k · 41 announced
  10. + Open WorldPoor odds45 devs · median $35k · 100 announced
  11. + Colony SimPoor odds87 devs · median $31k · 159 announced
  12. + HistoricalPoor odds108 devs · median $30k · 180 announced

All 149 pairs on the RTS page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Darwinia older $11.99 781 78% 23k $281k (exactly $280,926) Introversion Software
Touhou Spell Carnival $49.99 49 77% 1.5k $73k (exactly $73,485) Idea Factory, Compile Heart, STING
Frontline Crisis older $5.99 348 87% 10k $63k (exactly $62,536) BCQT
Red Risk older $4.99 349 56% 10k $52k (exactly $52,245) Microblast Games
Hero of Fate older $2.99 495 78% 15k $44k (exactly $44,402) Planescape Game Studio
Gray Zone older $19.99 52 61% 1.6k $31k (exactly $31,184) EastWorks
Space Raiders in Space older $9.99 75 93% 2.3k $22k (exactly $22,478) Apollo Interactive S.L.
Bees vs Zombees $7.99 89 92% 2.7k $21k (exactly $21,333) DeadPixel
Alien Hallway 2 older $4.99 137 67% 4.1k $21k (exactly $20,509) Sigma Team Inc.
Planet TD older $2.99 124 73% 3.7k $11k (exactly $11,123) MD Games
Xeno Rangers $11.99 4 100% 120 $1.4k (exactly $1,439) 9000 Legends
Miryam: The Polluted Land $4.99 5 100% 150 $748 (exactly $748) 6.5F Studio
Stars And Empires: Colony Defense $14.99 1 100% 30 $450 (exactly $450) Elemental Legion
武侠幸存者 $0.99 12 75% 360 $356 (exactly $356) wuxiaxingcunzhe
Serpent Squad $1.99 2 50% 60 $119 (exactly $119) UncleChen Games
Chromatic Battles · EA $5.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) NightWave Games
Bug Hunter $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) QianYi

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.